NBA · Mar 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalATL 131 – MIL 113Page updated 15:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Hawks

CJ McCollum · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 18 actual

Corey Kispert · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 7 actual

Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 5 actual

Jock Landale · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 1 actual

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Kevin Porter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 16 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Ousmane Dieng · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 274 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 7 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Kyle Kuzma · points 8.5 → 16 · 7.5 above the line · played 21.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Jock Landale · rebounds 5.5 → 1 · 4.5 below the line · played 15.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Nickeil Alexander-Walker · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Onyeka Okongwu · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Jalen Johnson · rebounds 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Dyson Daniels · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Myles Turner · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Ousmane Dieng · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

AJ Green · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Ryan Rollins · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Corey Kispert · points 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.96

CJ McCollum · points 17.5 → 18 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Kevin Porter Jr. · points 13.5 → no final stat available · DraftKings odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.96

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs ATL · last 29 games · MIL leads · MIL record 16–13 · average score 114.6–114.7 · MIL has lost by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · MIL 99 at ATL 122MIL lost

4 Mar · ATL 131 at MIL 113MIL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 87 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 94 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 104 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 118 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 122 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 128 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 420 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 547 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5560 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 370 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 403 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 417 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 453 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 455 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 457 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 462 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 465 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 518 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 520 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 523 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 525 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 527 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 548 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 551 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 552 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 554 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 556 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 567 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 570 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 574 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 585 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 586 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 597 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 604 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 613 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 674 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1480 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1560 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1560 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1666 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1666 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1667 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1667 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1667 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1739 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.