NBA · Mar 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at LA Clippers

FinalIND 107 – LAC 130Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes15 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 2 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Jarace Walker · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Jay Huff · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 18 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 29 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

LA Clippers

Brook Lopez · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Darius Garland · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 12 actual

Jordan Miller · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Kobe Sanders · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 0 actual

Kris Dunn · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Yanic Konan Niederhäuser · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAC expected to win by about 12 · both teams together expected to score about 230 points · odds to win: IND 5.57, LAC 1.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 03:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 292 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

15 other players with a posted line

Obi Toppin · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 9.6 min · no final price

Kobe Sanders · rebounds 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 21 min · no final price

Jay Huff · points 9.5 → 18 · 8.5 above the line · played 25.1 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 10.5 → 2 · 8.5 below the line · played 19.7 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 19.5 → 29 · 9.5 above the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Darius Garland · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 23.7 min · no final price

Jarace Walker · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Brook Lopez · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.4 min · no final price

Kris Dunn · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · no final price

Yanic Konan Niederhäuser · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 8.3 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.9 min · no final price

Jordan Miller · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · no final price

Derrick Jones Jr. · points 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAC vs IND · last 13 games · LAC leads · LAC record 8–5 · average score 122.9–117.2 · LAC has won by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · LAC 114 at IND 113LAC won

4 Mar · IND 107 at LAC 130LAC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAC expected to win by 12, expected total 230 (Thu 03:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 03:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 64

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 116 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 148 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 371 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 376 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 380 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 382 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 391 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 397 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 405 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 408 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 414 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 306 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 424 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 423 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 783 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1087 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4537 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 370 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 382 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 419 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 433 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 439 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 456 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 468 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 471 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 535 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 612 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 614 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 617 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 617 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 619 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 620 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 664 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 993 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 999 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1058 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1059 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1111 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.