NBA · Mar 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat

FinalLAL 134 – MIA 126Page updated 16:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 7 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

LAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 219 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.18

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.93

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.57, Under 2.30

Luka Dončić · rebounds 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Austin Reaves · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 40 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.93

Davion Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs LAL · last 20 games · LAL leads · MIA record 9–11 · average score 109.0–109.0 · MIA has won by 0 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

19 Mar · LAL 134 at MIA 126MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 99 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 104 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 113 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 119 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 469 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 555 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 354 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 367 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 430 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1983 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2145 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2145 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2178 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2215 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2502 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.