NBA · Mar 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers

FinalDAL 100 – POR 93Page updated 09:47 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 2 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 19 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 20 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 6 actual

Jrue Holiday · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 3 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Scoot Henderson · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 9 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

POR expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 240 points · odds to win: DAL 4.90, POR 1.21

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:47 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 436 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Cooper Flagg · assists 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 37.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.71

Max Christie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Donovan Clingan · points 14.5 → 6 · 8.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Jrue Holiday · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.54, Under 2.38

Robert Williams III · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 10.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.69

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.51

Scoot Henderson · points 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 22.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Toumani Camara · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.14

Deni Avdija · points 24.5 → 20 · 4.5 below the line · played 37.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Dwight Powell · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 20.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Naji Marshall · points 17.5 → 19 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.03

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs DAL · last 24 games · DAL leads · POR record 8–16 · average score 115.4–125.4 · POR has lost by 10 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · DAL 100 at POR 93POR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had POR expected to win by 10.5, expected total 240 (Sat 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 30 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 116 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 118 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 123 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 124 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 127 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 131 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 135 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 91 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1012 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 1108 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1910 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2440 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 374 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 413 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1164 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1166 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1167 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1168 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1169 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1188 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1692 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1976 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1976 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1996 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.