NBA · Mar 27 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Toronto Raptors

FinalNOP 106 – TOR 119Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 13 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Karlo Matković · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Yves Missi · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 2 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Toronto Raptors

Collin Murray-Boyles · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Ja'Kobe Walter · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 18 actual

Jamal Shead · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

RJ Barrett · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 23 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

TOR expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 229 points · odds to win: NOP 3.67, TOR 1.32

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

NOP also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 468 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Ja'Kobe Walter · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Jamal Shead · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.9 min · no final price

Derik Queen · points 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 22.5 min · no final price

Jakob Poeltl · points 10.5 → 18 · 7.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Yves Missi · rebounds 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 18.8 min · no final price

Karlo Matković · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 16.7 min · no final price

Saddiq Bey · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.1 min · no final price

Jordan Poole · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.4 min · no final price

Scottie Barnes · points 18.5 → 23 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.5 min · no final price

Collin Murray-Boyles · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 12.2 min · no final price

Jeremiah Fears · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Zion Williamson · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

RJ Barrett · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

TOR vs NOP · last 14 games · TOR leads · TOR record 7–7 · average score 110.4–115.6 · TOR has lost by 5.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · NOP 106 at TOR 119TOR won

11 Mar · TOR 111 at NOP 122TOR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had TOR expected to win by 8.5, expected total 229 (Sat 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

sds history (h2h)ok · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 140 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 141 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 142 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 145 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 147 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 148 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 149 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 155 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 91 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 476 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 592 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 432 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 433 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 454 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 463 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 496 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 526 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 602 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 677 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 701 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 732 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 740 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 743 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 759 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 759 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1107 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1110 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1150 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.