NBA · Apr 5 gameAll props Full sheet

LA Clippers at Sacramento Kings

FinalLAC 138 – SAC 109Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

LA Clippers

Brook Lopez · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Darius Garland · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 17 actual

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jordan Miller · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 13 actual

Kris Dunn · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 12.5 → 23 actual

Sacramento Kings

Maxime Raynaud · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 11 actual

Nique Clifford · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Precious Achiuwa · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAC expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 228.5 points · odds to win: LAC 1.12, SAC 6.90

Game odds from 8 bookmakers · observed Mon 00:37 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 253 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Kris Dunn · points + rebounds + assists 12.5 → 23 · 10.5 above the line · played 26.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Jordan Miller · points 8.5 → 13 · 4.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.03, Under 1.76

Precious Achiuwa · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 20.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Brook Lopez · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Nique Clifford · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.22, Under 1.63

Maxime Raynaud · points 14.5 → 11 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Derrick Jones Jr. · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.74

Darius Garland · points 19.5 → 17 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs LAC · last 24 games · LAC leads · SAC record 9–15 · average score 109.1–115.8 · SAC has lost by 6.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · LAC 138 at SAC 109SAC lost

14 Mar · SAC 118 at LAC 109SAC won

6 Feb · LAC 114 at SAC 111SAC lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Fanatics first had LAC expected to win by 11.5, expected total 229 (Sun 01:45 UTC) and later LAC expected to win by 13.5, expected total 229 (Mon 00:37 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 26 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 133 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 140 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 149 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 152 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 155 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 164 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 169 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 175 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 511 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 905 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1463 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 527 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 599 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 601 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 602 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 778 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 780 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 847 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.