NBA · Apr 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalLAL 128 – DAL 134Page updated 11:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Bronny James · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 5 actual

Jake LaRavia · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 8 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 7 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 7 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAL expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 232.5 points · odds to win: LAL 1.83, DAL 2.00

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Sun 23:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:36 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 288 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.48, Under 1.48

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 19.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Max Christie · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Bronny James · points 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 8.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Cooper Flagg · rebounds 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Jake LaRavia · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs LAL · last 24 games · DAL leads · DAL record 12–12 · average score 112.3–114.0 · DAL has lost by 1.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · LAL 128 at DAL 134DAL won

12 Feb · DAL 104 at LAL 124DAL lost

24 Jan · LAL 116 at DAL 110DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

BetRivers first had LAL expected to win by 6, expected total 234.5 (Sat 21:26 UTC) and later LAL expected to win by 1.5, expected total 234 (Sun 23:05 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 19 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 26 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 107 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 114 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 116 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 101 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 139 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 203 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1188 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1301 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1661 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1663 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1666 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1667 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1669 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1668 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1797 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.