NBA · Apr 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalUTA 107 – LAL 131Page updated 09:47 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Utah Jazz

Ace Bailey · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 15 actual

Brice Sensabaugh · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → 15 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Bronny James · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Jake LaRavia · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAL expected to win by about 14.5 · both teams together expected to score about 235.5 points · odds to win: UTA 8.00, LAL 1.09

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Mon 00:11 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:47 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 42 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Jake LaRavia · points 11.5 → 2 · 9.5 below the line · played 24.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.86

Brice Sensabaugh · points 22.5 → 15 · 7.5 below the line · played 13.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.70

Bronny James · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 18.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Ace Bailey · points 19.5 → 15 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.13

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs UTA · last 23 games · LAL leads · LAL record 16–7 · average score 118.7–115.8 · LAL has won by 2.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · UTA 107 at LAL 131LAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

FanDuel first had LAL expected to win by 17, expected total 235.5 (Sat 22:11 UTC) and later LAL expected to win by 14.5, expected total 238.5 (Mon 00:11 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 17 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 28 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 117 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 179 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 211 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 214 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 237 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 238 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 239 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 239 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 242 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 159 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 615 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1093 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1125 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1126 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1830 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.