02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

13 players checked · 7 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 3 of 12 players have performed clearly differently and 5 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Boston Celticsplaying PHI

Baylor Scheierman · minutes unknown
points 3.5 → 5 actual
Derrick White · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 1 actual
Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown
points 25.5 → 17 actual
Jordan Walsh · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 11 actual
Luka Garza · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 12 actual
Neemias Queta · minutes unknown
rebounds 7.5 → 11 actual
Paul George · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 3 actual
Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown
rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual
Sam Hauser · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Philadelphia 76ersplaying BOS

Jaylen Brown · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 2 actual
Joel Embiid · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Tyrese Maxey · minutes unknown
points 24.5 → 30 actual
VJ Edgecombe · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 3 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 303 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
13 other players with a posted line
Luka Garza · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 12 · 7.5 above the line · played 13.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74
Jordan Walsh · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 11 · 6.5 above the line · played 19.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05
Derrick White · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45
Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 21 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.49, Under 1.49
Jaylen Brown · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.71
Neemias Queta · rebounds 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 20.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83
Baylor Scheierman · points 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 15.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.22
Jayson Tatum · points 25.5 → 17 · 8.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.91
Joel Embiid · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.00
Tyrese Maxey · points 24.5 → 30 · 5.5 above the line · played 39.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.92
Paul George · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.83
Payton Pritchard · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.65
VJ Edgecombe · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 38 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.64

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

PHI vs BOS · last 44 games · BOS leads · PHI record 21–23 · average score 104.3–108.8 · PHI has lost by 4.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

2 May · PHI 109 at BOS 100PHI won
30 Apr · BOS 93 at PHI 106PHI won
28 Apr · PHI 113 at BOS 97PHI won
26 Apr · BOS 128 at PHI 96PHI lost
24 Apr · BOS 108 at PHI 100PHI lost
21 Apr · PHI 111 at BOS 97PHI won
19 Apr · PHI 91 at BOS 123PHI lost
1 Mar · PHI 98 at BOS 114PHI lost
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

FanDuel first had BOS expected to win by 5.5, expected total 212.5 () and later BOS expected to win by 6.5, expected total 213.5 ().

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 72
sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 11 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 11 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 13 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 13 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 13 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 14 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 15 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 15 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 16 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 16 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 17 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 17 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 18 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 18 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 18 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 96 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 102 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 104 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 105 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 105 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 107 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 108 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 131 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 623 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 674 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1096 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 106 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 111 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 132 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 136 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 198 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 221 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 270 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 296 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 304 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 304 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 305 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 310 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 313 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 314 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 314 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 325 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 331 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 343 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 374 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1533 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1607 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1608 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1608 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1610 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1611 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1706 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1710 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1730 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1777 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2002 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2005 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2007 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.