NBA · Apr 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDEN 98 – MIN 110Page updated 10:41 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 8 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 0 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Spencer Jones · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 8 actual

Tyus Jones · minutes unknown

points 1.5 → 4 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Ayo Dosunmu · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → no final stat available

Bones Hyland · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 32 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Terrence Shannon Jr · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.36, MIN 3.25

Game odds from 9 bookmakers · observed Fri 01:04 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:41 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 421 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Tyus Jones · points 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 12.4 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.14

Terrence Shannon Jr · rebounds 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.90

Cameron Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 39.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.62

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 40.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.64

Jaden McDaniels · points 17.5 → 32 · 14.5 above the line · played 44.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Christian Braun · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.98

Bones Hyland · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 8.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Spencer Jones · points 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 43.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Rudy Gobert · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 41.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.89

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Ayo Dosunmu · assists 4.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DEN · last 45 games · DEN leads · MIN record 21–24 · average score 112.2–111.1 · MIN has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110MIN won

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125MIN lost

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112MIN won

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113MIN won

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114MIN won

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116MIN lost

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Fanatics first had DEN expected to win by 5.5, expected total 225.5 (Wed 16:05 UTC) and later DEN expected to win by 7, expected total 223.5 (Fri 01:04 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 69

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 24 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 30 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 38 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 120 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 121 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 121 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 122 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 128 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 127 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 614 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 680 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 361 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 398 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 456 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 461 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 480 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 522 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 536 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1228 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 939 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1031 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1044 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1237 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1240 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1241 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1243 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1243 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1244 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1628 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1629 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1631 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.