NBA · Final · Playoffs round 1, game 6 · ORL leads 3–2updated 16:23 UTC

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic

at Orlando Magic

No game odds posted yet

DET 93 – ORL 79

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that made money over many past bets; that was measured on WNBA bets, and NBA has not been measured yet.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line in every game we hold since the 2019-20 season (not only this season), for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: DET = Detroit Pistons, ORL = Orlando Magic.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

The players

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 30 rostered players. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Detroit Pistonsplaying ORL

15 players have no line from any bookmaker: Thompson · Cunningham · LeVert · +12 more

Orlando Magicplaying DET

15 players have no line from any bookmaker: Black · Bane · Wagner · +12 more

What could go wrong

updated 16:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Fri 21:42 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

ORL vs DET · last 30 games · ORL leads · ORL record 16–14 · average score 106.6–106.1 · ORL has won by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 May · ORL 94 at DET 116ORL lost

1 May · DET 93 at ORL 79ORL lost

29 Apr · ORL 109 at DET 116ORL lost

27 Apr · DET 88 at ORL 94ORL won

25 Apr · DET 105 at ORL 113ORL won

22 Apr · ORL 83 at DET 98ORL lost

19 Apr · ORL 112 at DET 101ORL won

6 Apr · DET 107 at ORL 123ORL won

1 Mar · DET 106 at ORL 92ORL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DET expected to win by 3.5, expected total 210.5 (Fri 23:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 23:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 249 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 399 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 401 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 405 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 408 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 411 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 433 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 441 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 434 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 435 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 445 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 460 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 448 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 459 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 88 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 873 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1210 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed · 6003 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.