NBA · Final · Playoffs round 2, game 2 · NYK leads 1–0updated 07:48 UTC

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks

at New York Knicks

NYK expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 213.5 points · odds to win: PHI 4.50, NYK 1.22

Game odds from 10 bookmakers, Wed 22:54 UTC

PHI 102 – NYK 108

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that made money over many past bets; that was measured on WNBA bets, and NBA has not been measured yet.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line in every game we hold since the 2019-20 season (not only this season), for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: PHI = Philadelphia 76ers, NYK = New York Knicks.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

The players

19 players checked · 13 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 19 players have performed clearly differently and 4 show a slight hint · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Philadelphia 76ersplaying NYK

Adem Bona · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 2 actual

SAndre Drummond · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Dominick Barlow · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Joel Embiid · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Justin Edwards · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → no final stat available

SKelly Oubre Jr. · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 19 actual

SPaul George · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Quentin Grimes · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

STyrese Maxey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

SVJ Edgecombe · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

5 players have no line from any bookmaker: Terry · Walker · Broome · +2 more

New York Knicksplaying PHI

SJalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 6 actual

Jose Alvarado · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 4 actual

SJosh Hart · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

SKarl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

SMikal Bridges · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → no final stat available

SOG Anunoby · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

6 players have no line from any bookmaker: Hukporti · Sochan · Shamet · +3 more

What could go wrong

updated 07:48 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Wed 21:55 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 405 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 9 of 11 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

19 other players with a posted line

Mikal Bridges · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.76

Tyrese Maxey · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 46.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.04

Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Dominick Barlow · points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 15.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Adem Bona · points 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.73

Kelly Oubre Jr. · points 13.5 → 19 · 5.5 above the line · played 39.8 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.02

Miles McBride · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.10

Jose Alvarado · points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 7.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Andre Drummond · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.90

OG Anunoby · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Paul George · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 43 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.96

VJ Edgecombe · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.04

Jordan Clarkson · points 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 8.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.85

Josh Hart · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 43.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.60

Quentin Grimes · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.08

Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.70

Joel Embiid · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 2.19, Under 1.63

Justin Edwards · points 3.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.82

Mitchell Robinson · points 4.5 → no final stat available · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.60

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

NYK vs PHI · last 36 games · NYK leads · NYK record 21–15 · average score 109.1–104.2 · NYK has won by 4.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 May · NYK 144 at PHI 114NYK won

8 May · NYK 108 at PHI 94NYK won

6 May · PHI 102 at NYK 108NYK won

4 May · PHI 98 at NYK 137NYK won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

FanDuel first had NYK expected to win by 7.5, expected total 216.5 (Wed 16:35 UTC) and later NYK expected to win by 10.5, expected total 213.5 (Wed 22:54 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 88

sds games/date (2026-05-02)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-03)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-01)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-04)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-05)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 23 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 106 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 111 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 112 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 126 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 511 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1325 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1855 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 86 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 336 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 814 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 815 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 902 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 903 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 908 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 905 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 903 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 906 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 912 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 911 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 947 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 978 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 977 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 979 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 986 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 986 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1023 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1052 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.