NBA · Final · Playoffs round 2, game 3 · NYK leads 2–0updated 07:48 UTC

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers

at Philadelphia 76ers

PHI expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 213.5 points · odds to win: NYK 2.40, PHI 1.61

Game odds from 10 bookmakers, Fri 22:48 UTC

NYK 108 – PHI 94

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that made money over many past bets; that was measured on WNBA bets, and NBA has not been measured yet.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line in every game we hold since the 2019-20 season (not only this season), for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: NYK = New York Knicks, PHI = Philadelphia 76ers.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

The players

16 players checked · 10 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 0 of 16 players have performed clearly differently and 1 shows a slight hint · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

New York Knicksplaying PHI

SJalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Jose Alvarado · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 6.5 → 3 actual

SJosh Hart · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

SKarl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 12 actual

SMikal Bridges · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

SMiles McBride · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 6 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → no final stat available

6 players have no line from any bookmaker: Hukporti · Sochan · Shamet · +3 more

Philadelphia 76ersplaying NYK

Andre Drummond · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 7.5 → 1 actual

SJoel Embiid · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 6 actual

SKelly Oubre Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

SPaul George · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Quentin Grimes · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

STyrese Maxey · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 17 actual

SVJ Edgecombe · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

8 players have no line from any bookmaker: Bona · Terry · Barlow · +5 more

What could go wrong

updated 07:48 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Fri 21:49 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 353 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 3 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

16 other players with a posted line

Josh Hart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 40.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.13, Under 1.65

Andre Drummond · points + rebounds + assists 7.5 → 1 · 6.5 below the line · played 3.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Mikal Bridges · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.25

Miles McBride · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 21 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.56

Jose Alvarado · points + rebounds + assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 7.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 38.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.11

Mitchell Robinson · points 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 19 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Kelly Oubre Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.39, Under 1.55

Tyrese Maxey · points 25.5 → 17 · 8.5 below the line · played 43.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Joel Embiid · rebounds 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Jordan Clarkson · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 13.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

VJ Edgecombe · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.1 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.67

Paul George · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 38 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Quentin Grimes · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.97

Karl-Anthony Towns · rebounds 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.78

OG Anunoby · rebounds 5.5 → no final stat available · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

PHI vs NYK · last 36 games · NYK leads · PHI record 15–21 · average score 104.2–109.1 · PHI has lost by 4.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 May · NYK 144 at PHI 114PHI lost

8 May · NYK 108 at PHI 94PHI lost

6 May · PHI 102 at NYK 108PHI lost

4 May · PHI 98 at NYK 137PHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

BetRivers first had PHI expected to win by 1.5, expected total 214.5 (Fri 13:48 UTC) and later PHI expected to win by 4, expected total 214.5 (Fri 22:48 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 79

sds games/date (2026-05-06)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-05)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-02)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-07)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-03)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-01)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-04)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 32 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 38 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 35 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 283 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 281 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 282 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 288 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 289 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 284 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 286 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 291 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 294 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 257 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 297 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 804 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2083 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2789 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 19 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 16 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 479 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 485 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 491 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 493 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 495 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 498 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 513 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 567 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 574 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 582 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 947 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1007 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1032 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1031 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1033 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1065 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1080 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1091 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1147 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1155 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1183 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1184 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1217 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1265 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1408 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1488 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.