NBA · Final · Playoffs round 3, game 2 · NYK leads 1–0updated 07:48 UTC

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks

at New York Knicks

NYK expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 215.5 points · odds to win: CLE 2.65, NYK 1.54

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference), Thu 23:37 UTC

CLE 93 – NYK 109

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that made money over many past bets; that was measured on WNBA bets, and NBA has not been measured yet.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line in every game we hold since the 2019-20 season (not only this season), for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: CLE = Cleveland Cavaliers, NYK = New York Knicks.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

The players

18 players checked · 12 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 1 of 18 players has performed clearly differently and 4 show a slight hint · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Cleveland Cavaliersplaying NYK

SDean Wade · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 3 actual

Dennis Schröder · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

SDonovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

SEvan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

SJames Harden · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 18 actual

SJarrett Allen · minutes unknown

assists 1.5 → 0 actual

Max Strus · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 4 actual

7 players have no line from any bookmaker: Jr. · Tyson · Ellis · +4 more

New York Knicksplaying CLE

SJalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 14 actual

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 4 actual

Jose Alvarado · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 2 actual

SJosh Hart · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

SKarl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 1 actual

Landry Shamet · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

SMikal Bridges · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 5 actual

Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 4 actual

SOG Anunoby · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

5 players have no line from any bookmaker: Hukporti · Sochan · Diawara · +2 more

What could go wrong

updated 07:48 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Thu 22:43 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 52 of the 369 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 5 of 12 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

18 other players with a posted line

Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 14 · 7.5 above the line · played 40.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.92

Jarrett Allen · assists 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.75

Landry Shamet · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 14.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.92

Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.58

Donovan Mitchell · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 38.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.12

Jose Alvarado · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 7.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Josh Hart · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.27, Under 1.65

Sam Merrill · points 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 23.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.82

Max Strus · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.71

Dennis Schröder · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 18 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.82

Dean Wade · points 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.85

OG Anunoby · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.68

Evan Mobley · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.75

Mikal Bridges · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.31, Under 1.63

Jordan Clarkson · points 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.70

Mitchell Robinson · points 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 12.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.88

Miles McBride · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 2.04

James Harden · points 17.5 → 18 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.86

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

NYK vs CLE · last 32 games · NYK leads · NYK record 19–13 · average score 105.8–103.6 · NYK has won by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 May · NYK 130 at CLE 93NYK won

23 May · NYK 121 at CLE 108NYK won

21 May · CLE 93 at NYK 109NYK won

19 May · CLE 104 at NYK 115NYK won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYK expected to win by 6, expected total 214.5 (Wed 03:14 UTC) and later NYK expected to win by 5.5, expected total 215.5 (Thu 23:37 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 85

sds games/date (2026-05-13)ok 200 · 52 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 58 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 60 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 72 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-16)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-20)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-19)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-17)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-18)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 200 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 204 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-14)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-15)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 302 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-11)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-10)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-12)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 318 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-07)ok 200 · 327 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 329 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-09)ok 200 · 331 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-08)ok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 341 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 352 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 354 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 308 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 668 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 891 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1019 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 359 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 394 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 400 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 480 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 496 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 505 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 509 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 520 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 524 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 530 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 561 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 564 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 567 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 572 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 575 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 591 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 594 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 605 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 614 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 623 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 687 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 705 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 742 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 750 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 834 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 832 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1170 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1172 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1174 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1176 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1314 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1340 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1341 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1342 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1352 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1350 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1370 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.