NBA · Final · Playoffs round 3, game 3 · NYK leads 2–0updated 08:50 UTC

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

at Cleveland Cavaliers

No game odds posted yet

NYK 121 – CLE 108

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that made money over many past bets; that was measured on WNBA bets, and NBA has not been measured yet.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line in every game we hold since the 2019-20 season (not only this season), for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: NYK = New York Knicks, CLE = Cleveland Cavaliers.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

The players

19 players checked · 13 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 1 of 19 players has performed clearly differently and 4 show a slight hint · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

New York Knicksplaying CLE

SJalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 0 actual

Jose Alvarado · minutes unknown

points 2.5 → 2 actual

SJosh Hart · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 12 actual

SKarl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Landry Shamet · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 14 actual

SMikal Bridges · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 22 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 5 actual

Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

SOG Anunoby · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 21 actual

5 players have no line from any bookmaker: Hukporti · Sochan · Diawara · +2 more

Cleveland Cavaliersplaying NYK

SDean Wade · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 0 actual

Dennis Schröder · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 3 actual

SDonovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

SEvan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

SJames Harden · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

SJarrett Allen · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 7 actual

Jaylon Tyson · minutes unknown

points 1.5 → 3 actual

Max Strus · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

6 players have no line from any bookmaker: Jr. · Ellis · Jr. · +3 more

What could go wrong

updated 08:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Sat 22:51 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 47 of the 362 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 7 of 13 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

19 other players with a posted line

Landry Shamet · points 3.5 → 14 · 10.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.83

Jordan Clarkson · points 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 2.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.85

Dean Wade · points 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 16.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.09, Under 1.76

Jaylon Tyson · points 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 8.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Donovan Mitchell · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 38.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.79

Mikal Bridges · points 13.5 → 22 · 8.5 above the line · played 39.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.93

Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.38, Under 1.60

Mitchell Robinson · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 9.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.87

Dennis Schröder · points 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 9.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.09

OG Anunoby · points 14.5 → 21 · 6.5 above the line · played 30.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 2.00

Evan Mobley · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.85

Max Strus · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 31 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.79

Sam Merrill · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.68

Jose Alvarado · points 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 4.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.65

James Harden · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.94

Miles McBride · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.83

Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.10

Jarrett Allen · rebounds 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.16

Josh Hart · points 12.5 → 12 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

CLE vs NYK · last 32 games · NYK leads · CLE record 13–19 · average score 103.6–105.8 · CLE has lost by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 May · NYK 130 at CLE 93CLE lost

23 May · NYK 121 at CLE 108CLE lost

21 May · CLE 93 at NYK 109CLE lost

19 May · CLE 104 at NYK 115CLE lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 88

sds games/date (2026-05-22)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-18)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-17)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-19)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-14)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-20)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-13)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-12)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-15)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-16)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-10)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-21)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-11)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-09)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 107 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 113 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 125 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 132 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 143 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 88 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 638 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1167 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1528 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 369 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 400 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 415 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 922 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 924 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 990 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 990 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1395 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1400 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1401 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1402 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1404 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1405 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1672 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1673 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1894 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1895 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1898 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1901 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.