NBA · Final · Playoffs round 3, game 4 · NYK leads 3–0updated 08:51 UTC

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

at Cleveland Cavaliers

No game odds posted yet

NYK 130 – CLE 93

Final

We had no picks in this game; every posted line is still scored below.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Explore every player and prop

How to read this page

A pick is a player line, for example Under 13.5 points, that we published before the game together with the price we found for it. We do not take bets.
Odds are shown in the decimal format: 1.93 means you get back 1.93 for every 1 staked, so a higher number pays more. The American format (−108 means risk 108 to win 100; +111 means risk 100 to win 111) appears only in the Data log at the bottom of the page.
'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; 'better' is a higher price for the same line at another bookmaker. Taking the better price is the one thing on this page that made money over many past bets; that was measured on WNBA bets, and NBA has not been measured yet.
'Market puts Under at 48.5%' is the chance implied by all bookmakers' prices together, with their built-in margin removed. Pinnacle is a bookmaker whose prices are widely treated as the most accurate reference, so it is the one we compare against.
A player's rate is how often that player has gone over the line in every game we hold since the 2019-20 season (not only this season), for example over in 41 of 78 games (52.6%), with a likely range such as 32–52%: fewer games means a wider range, and under 10 games we show no rate word at all.
'Past record stronger than the price' means the whole likely range sits above the chance the bookmakers' price implies; 'weaker' means below; 'agrees with the price' means the price sits inside the range, which is the usual case. None of these is a tip.
'Not measurable' is the usual honest answer: too few games to tell a real difference from chance.
'What could go wrong' lists the facts that can change a line: who is out, whether the starting lineup is confirmed, expected playing time (RotoWire's estimate), rest, and how many bookmakers price each line.
After the final, every pick is checked against the official stats and compared with the last price before the game started, the market's most informed price; getting a better price than that is the fairest test of a pick, whether or not it won. A tie means the player landed exactly on the line and the stake is returned; lines ending in .5 cannot tie.
Results are given for every 1 staked: 'would have returned +0.93' means a stake of 1 would have come back with 0.93 in profit. We do not stake anything; the record is what a stake of 1 on each pick would have done. Our record counts a smaller stake when the price advantage was small.
S beside a name marks an expected starter. Times are shown in your device's time zone; our data is recorded in US Eastern Time (ET). Team codes are the league's three-letter abbreviations.
'Your prediction' lets you pick Over or Under on any line before the game starts; we check your predictions the same way and keep your record, and one game of results proves nothing.
Team codes on this page: NYK = New York Knicks, CLE = Cleveland Cavaliers.

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

The players

19 players checked · 15 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 1 of 19 players has performed clearly differently and 5 show a slight hint · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

New York Knicksplaying CLE

SJalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 5 actual

Jose Alvarado · minutes unknown

points 2.5 → 4 actual

SJosh Hart · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

SKarl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Landry Shamet · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 16 actual

SMikal Bridges · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 10 actual

SOG Anunoby · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 17 actual

6 players have no line from any bookmaker: Hukporti · Sochan · Clarkson · +3 more

Cleveland Cavaliersplaying NYK

Dean Wade · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 0 actual

Dennis Schröder · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → no final stat available

SDonovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 1 actual

SEvan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

SJames Harden · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 2 actual

SJarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Jaylon Tyson · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 2 actual

Keon Ellis · minutes unknown

points 1.5 → 5 actual

SMax Strus · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

5 players have no line from any bookmaker: Jr. · Jr. · Tomlin · +2 more

What could go wrong

updated 08:51 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Mon 22:34 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 52 of the 478 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

What happened

In 6 of 14 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

19 other players with a posted line

Keon Ellis · points 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 16 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Landry Shamet · points 5.5 → 16 · 10.5 above the line · played 19 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.98

Mitchell Robinson · rebounds 4.5 → 10 · 5.5 above the line · played 17.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.93

Mikal Bridges · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 2.05

Miles McBride · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 16.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Dean Wade · points 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 12.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.96

Donovan Mitchell · assists 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.31, Under 1.63

James Harden · assists 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.82

Jose Alvarado · points 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 10.1 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Max Strus · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.98

Jarrett Allen · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 2.00

Jaylon Tyson · points 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 16 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.07

Sam Merrill · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.99

Jalen Brunson · assists 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 2.05

Josh Hart · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.79

Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 26 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.99

Evan Mobley · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.97

OG Anunoby · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 27 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.87

Dennis Schröder · assists 2.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.41, Under 1.58

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context

Head to head

CLE vs NYK · last 32 games · NYK leads · CLE record 13–19 · average score 103.6–105.8 · CLE has lost by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 May · NYK 130 at CLE 93CLE lost

23 May · NYK 121 at CLE 108CLE lost

21 May · CLE 93 at NYK 109CLE lost

19 May · CLE 104 at NYK 115CLE lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 88

sds games/date (2026-05-21)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-20)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-14)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-18)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-16)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-22)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-19)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-17)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-15)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-23)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-24)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 51 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-12)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-11)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-13)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 61 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 123 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 141 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 142 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 175 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 201 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 289 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 647 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 670 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 971 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 44 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 406 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 602 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 661 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 768 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 769 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 788 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 850 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 854 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 855 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 856 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 862 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 964 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1318 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1393 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1394 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1395 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1395 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1396 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1420 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.