Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.
Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted
Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
Our picks, raw · 27
Ryan Rollins · U 9.5 points+471value_edge_pct +151.07 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 2
Tyler Herro · U 14.5 points+376value_edge_pct +94.77 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 3
Josh Giddey · U 5.5 rebounds+215value_edge_pct +22.13 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 55
Kyle Kuzma · U 9.5 points+150value_edge_pct +20.97 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 61
Kyle Kuzma · U 0.5 threes+215value_edge_pct +19.39 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 74
Tyler Herro · U 19.5 points+205value_edge_pct +17.92 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 84
Tre Jones · U 3.5 assists+155value_edge_pct +15.42 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 103
Caleb Wilson · U 5.5 rebounds+146value_edge_pct +15.32 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 104
Jalen Smith · U 9.5 points+138value_edge_pct +14.74 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 109
Tre Jones · U 13.5 pa+111value_edge_pct +11.79 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 144
Matas Buzelis · U 15.5 points+128value_edge_pct +10.54 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 175
Leonard Miller · O 1.5 assists+122value_edge_pct +9.76 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 192
Jalen Smith · O 8.5 rebounds+146value_edge_pct +9.73 · kelly 1.65u · price_check unchecked · rank 193
Brayden Burries · O 8.5 points+130value_edge_pct +9.57 · kelly 1.85u · price_check unchecked · rank 198
Tre Jones · O 4.5 assists+145value_edge_pct +9.29 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 208
Leonard Miller · U 1.5 assists−130value_edge_pct +8.55 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 225
Josh Giddey · U 9.5 assists−104value_edge_pct +7.93 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 250
Jaime Jaquez Jr · U 25.5 pra+111value_edge_pct +7.51 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 270
Josh Giddey · U 16.5 ra+111value_edge_pct +7.51 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 271
Tyler Herro · U 22.5 points+110value_edge_pct +7.00 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 293
Tre Jones · U 8.5 points+115value_edge_pct +6.90 · kelly 1.50u · price_check unchecked · rank 303
Ryan Rollins · O 21.5 pr+109value_edge_pct +6.49 · kelly 1.50u · price_check unchecked · rank 312
Jaime Jaquez Jr · O 14.5 points−110value_edge_pct +6.41 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 314
Tyler Herro · U 4.5 rebounds−120value_edge_pct +5.07 · kelly 1.50u · price_check unchecked · rank 340
Ryan Rollins · O 4.5 assists−115value_edge_pct +4.89 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 346
Josh Giddey · U 14.5 points−135value_edge_pct +4.10 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 361
Matas Buzelis · O 1.5 assists−135value_edge_pct +3.87 · kelly 1.30u · price_check unchecked · rank 367
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 35
Matas Buzelis Over 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −147 · bet_clv:2324742 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.7% · unexplained · actual 0 · 17.3 min · bench
Matas Buzelis Over 1.5 ASTWIN +0.74ubet −135 · bet_clv:2324741 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.7% · actual 3 · 17.3 min · bench
Jaime Jaquez Jr Under 25.5 PRAVOID +0.00ubet +111 · bet_clv:2324740 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 0
Ryan Rollins Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +471 · bet_clv:2324738 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.0% · unexplained · actual 11 · 33.6 min · started
Ryan Rollins Over 4.5 ASTWIN +0.87ubet −115 · bet_clv:2324737 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.1% · actual 6 · 33.6 min · started
Josh Giddey Under 9.5 ASTWIN +0.96ubet −104 · bet_clv:2324736 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 55.0% · actual 9 · 24.6 min · started
Tre Jones Under 8.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +115 · bet_clv:2324735 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · unexplained · actual 11 · 24.0 min · started
Tre Jones Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +155 · bet_clv:2324734 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.3% · unexplained · actual 8 · 24.0 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +205 · bet_clv:2324732 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 38.7% · unexplained · actual 34 · 31.6 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 22.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +110 · bet_clv:2324729 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 34 · 31.6 min · started
Brayden Burries Over 8.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +130 · bet_clv:2317792 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.6% · blowout_foul_trouble · actual 3 · 8.3 min · bench · excused
Caleb Wilson Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.27ubet −370 · bet_clv:2317791 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 78.0% · actual 1 · 33.2 min · started
Leonard Miller Under 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −130 · bet_clv:2317788 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.4% · unexplained · actual 2 · 23.6 min · started
Josh Giddey Under 5.5 REBWIN +2.15ubet +215 · bet_clv:2317787 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 38.8% · actual 4 · 24.6 min · started
Tre Jones Over 4.5 ASTWIN +1.45ubet +145 · bet_clv:2317786 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.6% · actual 8 · 24.0 min · started
Jalen Smith Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +138 · bet_clv:2317785 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.2% · unexplained · actual 14 · 24.4 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +376 · bet_clv:2317783 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.9% · unexplained · actual 34 · 31.6 min · started
Kyle Kuzma Under 0.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet +215 · bet_clv:2317782 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 37.9% · unexplained · actual 2 · 29.7 min · started
Matas Buzelis Under 15.5 PTSWIN +1.28ubet +128 · bet_clv:2317790 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.5% · actual 7 · 17.3 min · bench
Myles Turner Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.34ubet −290 · bet_clv:2310948 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.5% · actual 12 · 30.2 min · started
Caleb Wilson Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +146 · bet_clv:2310963 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.9% · unexplained · actual 6 · 33.2 min · started
Matas Buzelis Under 19.5 PTSWIN +0.43ubet −230 · bet_clv:2310962 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.4% · actual 7 · 17.3 min · bench
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 14.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet −110 · bet_clv:2310961 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 55.7% · actual 0
Leonard Miller Over 1.5 ASTWIN +1.22ubet +122 · bet_clv:2310960 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.4% · actual 2 · 23.6 min · started
Ryan Rollins Over 21.5 PRLOSS −1.00ubet +109 · bet_clv:2310959 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 18 · 33.6 min · started
Ryan Rollins Under 5.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −154 · bet_clv:2310958 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.6% · unexplained · actual 6 · 33.6 min · started
Josh Giddey Under 16.5 RAWIN +1.11ubet +111 · bet_clv:2310957 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 13 · 24.6 min · started
Josh Giddey Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.74ubet −135 · bet_clv:2310956 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.8% · actual 6 · 24.6 min · started
Tre Jones Under 13.5 PALOSS −1.00ubet +111 · bet_clv:2310955 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.0% · unexplained · actual 19 · 24.0 min · started
Jalen Smith Over 8.5 REBWIN +1.46ubet +146 · bet_clv:2310954 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.6% · actual 13 · 24.4 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 4.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −120 · bet_clv:2310953 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.3% · unexplained · actual 5 · 31.6 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 24.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −145 · bet_clv:2310952 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.5% · unexplained · actual 34 · 31.6 min · started
Kyle Kuzma Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.36ubet −275 · bet_clv:2310951 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 75.8% · actual 14 · 29.7 min · started
Kyle Kuzma Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +150 · bet_clv:2310950 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.4% · unexplained · actual 14 · 29.7 min · started
Norman Powell Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −210 · bet_clv:2310949 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.7% · unexplained · actual 4 · 32.5 min · started
Data fetches · 28
sds history (h2h)ok · 12 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 20 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 26 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 27 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 148 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 149 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 150 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 148 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 161 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 162 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 163 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 187 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 314 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 229 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 230 ms
odds player timeline (pa)failed 503 · 225 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 231 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 227 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 228 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 233 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 231 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 234 ms
odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 267 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 584 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 264 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 3208 ms