02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Publication timing not verified

Saved legacy CORE rows, if available, have not been verified as pre-tip publications. They are not backfilled into the published record, and a missing row is not a pass.

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed
0 / 0
Latest publication attempt
unknown
Status observed since

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

R. Barrett · Under 3.5 reboundsChecking resultPosted at 3.45 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…

Posted at 3.45

Pinnacle, the reference bookmaker, does not price NBA player lines

No price history for this line.

Re-checked 1 h before the start not re-checked

Legacy CORE signal · publication timing not verified. Recorded model stake: 2 units. The broader CORE flat-1u benchmark is separate; it is not a recommended1u wager or the exact published cohort’s ROI.

Investigate this prop →
I. Quickley · Under 4.5 assistsChecking resultPosted at 3.05 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
I. Quickley · Over 4.5 reboundsChecking resultPosted at 2.94 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
J. Poeltl · Under 5.5 reboundsChecking resultPosted at 2.84 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
K. Leonard · Over 0.5 blocksWithdrawn: outPosted at 2.55 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
K. Leonard · Under 5.5 reboundsWithdrawn: outPosted at 2.36 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
A. Davis · Under 10.5 reboundsChecking resultPosted at 2.34 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
S. Barnes · Under 17.5 pointsChecking resultPosted at 2.26 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
A. Sarr · Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assistsChecking resultPosted at 2.22 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
A. Davis · Over 22.5 pointsChecking resultPosted at 2.20 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
A. Davis · Over 36.5 points + rebounds + assistsChecking resultPosted at 2.13 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
A. Davis · Over 25.5 points + assistsChecking resultPosted at 2.11 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
I. Quickley · Under 1.5 stealsChecking resultPosted at 1.95 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
K. Leonard · Under 25.5 pointsWithdrawn: outPosted at 1.91 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
R. Barrett · Under 19.5 pointsChecking resultPosted at 1.74 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
C. Murray-Boyles · Under 1.5 assistsChecking resultPosted at 2.44 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
D. Ayton · Under 5.5 pointsChecking resultPosted at 2.35 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
D. Ayton · Over 0.5 blocksChecking resultPosted at 2.28 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
C. Murray-Boyles · Under 5.5 reboundsChecking resultPosted at 2.25 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…
C. Murray-Boyles · Over 8.5 rebounds + assistsChecking resultPosted at 2.12 · last price before start pendingResult being checked…

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Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 34 rostered players. 20 published picks use separate saved records.

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Toronto Raptorsplaying WAS

16 players have no line from any bookmaker: Barnes (33 expected minutes) · Leonard (32 min) · +14 more

Washington Wizardsplaying TOR

18 players have no line from any bookmaker: Young (36 expected minutes) · Davis (32 min) · +16 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Sign in to view saved research →Coverage has not been checked in this session. Missing access is not missing data.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Out Leonard · left knee injury management (knee) · TOR

Out Smith · two-way · TOR

Out Bittle · right avulsion fracture · TOR

Out Okpara · two-way · WAS

Out Watkins · left aclrepair/surgery · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out Beekman · two-way · WAS

Out Vukčević · left hip impingement (hip) · WAS

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed () · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

For 4 players (Battle, Jackson-Davis, George, Coulibaly) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 20 published picks use separate saved records.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

One game proves nothing.
Final20 picks; results are being checked… · checked

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

WAS vs TOR · last 24 games · TOR leads · WAS record 6–18 · average score 109.5–117.1 · WAS has lost by 7.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Oct · TOR 112 at WAS 102WAS lost
28 Feb · TOR 134 at WAS 125WAS lost
What each defense gives up per game
TOR gives up106.2 points · 42.4 rebounds · 23.0 assists · 34.1% from three-point range
WAS gives up109.7 points · 49.0 rebounds · 23.8 assists · 28.7% from three-point range
Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

TOR gives up 106.2 points a game · 4th of 29 · league average 113.7−7.5 vs average
WAS gives up 109.7 points a game · 12th of 29 · league average 113.7−4.0 vs average
How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 24
R.J. Barrett · U 3.5 rebounds+245value_edge_pct +61.22 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 8
Jakob Poeltl · U 5.5 rebounds+184value_edge_pct +39.28 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 16
Immanuel Quickley · O 4.5 rebounds+194value_edge_pct +19.79 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 71
Deandre Ayton · U 5.5 points+135value_edge_pct +19.74 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 72
Immanuel Quickley · U 1.5 steals−105value_edge_pct +15.19 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 105
Immanuel Quickley · U 4.5 assists+205value_edge_pct +13.21 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 131
Alex Sarr · O 21.5 pra+122value_edge_pct +13.11 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 133
Immanuel Quickley · O 6.5 assists+156value_edge_pct +11.18 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 154
Anthony Davis · O 22.5 points+120value_edge_pct +10.97 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 158
Deandre Ayton · O 0.5 blocks+128value_edge_pct +10.91 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 160
Collin Murray-Boyles · U 1.5 assists+144value_edge_pct +10.88 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 162
Kawhi Leonard · O 0.5 blocks+155value_edge_pct +10.71 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 167
Scottie Barnes · U 17.5 points+126value_edge_pct +10.26 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 178
R.J. Barrett · U 4.5 rebounds+148value_edge_pct +10.09 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 183
Kawhi Leonard · U 5.5 rebounds+136value_edge_pct +9.60 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 197
Anthony Davis · U 10.5 rebounds+134value_edge_pct +9.38 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 206
Deandre Ayton · O 6.5 points+113value_edge_pct +8.53 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 227
Anthony Davis · O 36.5 pra+113value_edge_pct +8.53 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 228
Collin Murray-Boyles · U 5.5 rebounds+125value_edge_pct +8.20 · kelly 1.65u · price_check unchecked · rank 237
Collin Murray-Boyles · O 8.5 ra+112value_edge_pct +8.02 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 243
Anthony Davis · O 25.5 pa+111value_edge_pct +7.51 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 273
Kawhi Leonard · U 25.5 points−110value_edge_pct +5.05 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 342
Scottie Barnes · U 19.5 points−132value_edge_pct +4.78 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 349
R.J. Barrett · U 19.5 points−135value_edge_pct +3.92 · kelly 1.30u · price_check unchecked · rank 365
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 28
sds history (h2h)ok · 47 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 54 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 55 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 68 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 69 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 94 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 111 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 170 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 172 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 173 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 173 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 185 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 203 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 206 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 212 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 113 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 113 ms
odds player timeline (blocks)failed 503 · 139 ms
odds player timeline (steals)failed 503 · 145 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 147 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 149 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 155 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 164 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 177 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 181 ms
odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 188 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 413 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 418 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.