02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Verified pre-tip publication record

These exact IDs were recorded before tip and match the Board and daily Ledger. Outcomes are joined by the same IDs; paper signals remain distinct from recommended stakes.

Publication #32 · · 1 active signals · 5 earlier withdrawn IDs retained in the daily Ledger

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed
0 / 0
Latest publication attempt
unknown
Status observed since

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

K. Ellis · Under 1.5 reboundsLostPosted at 3.15 · last price before start pendingPublished #2372003Lost

Posted at 3.15

Pinnacle, the reference bookmaker, does not price NBA player lines

No price history for this line.

Exact published pick #2372003. Recorded model stake: 2 units. The broader CORE flat-1u benchmark is separate; it is not a recommended1u wager or the exact published cohort’s ROI.

Investigate this prop →
Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 35 rostered players. 1 published pick uses separate saved records.

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Brooklyn Netsplaying CLE

18 players have no line from any bookmaker: Randle (35 expected minutes) · Jr. (34 min) · +16 more

Cleveland Cavaliersplaying BKN

17 players have no line from any bookmaker: Mitchell (35 expected minutes) · Mobley (34 min) · +15 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Sign in to view saved research →Coverage has not been checked in this session. Missing access is not missing data.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Out E. Udeh, Jr. (CLE) · earlier listed as available (changed )

Out Diop · earlier listed as unlisted (changed )

Out Tomlin · earlier listed as unlisted (changed )

Out Bilodeau · earlier listed as unlisted (changed )

Out Saraf · on assignment · BKN

Out Dëmin · right bone bruise · BKN

Out Nelson · two-way · BKN

Out Jefferson · on assignment · BKN

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed () · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

For 2 players (Wagner, Traore) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 1 published pick uses separate saved records.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: E. Udeh, Jr. (CLE) out () · played

Flagged before the game: Diop out () · played

Flagged before the game: Tomlin out () · played

Flagged before the game: Bilodeau out () · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

One game proves nothing.
Final · 0 of 1 pick wonPublished pick IDs: 0 won, 1 lost; 0 awaiting verified settlement. Positive-stake and paper results are separated in the daily Ledger; no combined unit return is claimed here. · checked

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

CLE vs BKN · last 23 games · CLE leads · CLE record 16–7 · average score 114.7–110.5 · CLE has won by 4.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Oct · BKN 121 at CLE 125CLE won
What each defense gives up per game
BKN gives up121.2 points · 43.4 rebounds · 29.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range
CLE gives up116.0 points · 44.8 rebounds · 28.3 assists · 33.7% from three-point range
Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

BKN gives up 121.2 points a game · 25th of 29 · league average 113.7+7.5 vs average
CLE gives up 116.0 points a game · 20th of 29 · league average 113.7+2.3 vs average
How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1
Keon Ellis · U 1.5 rebounds+215value_edge_pct – · kelly 2.00u
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 65
Julius Randle Under 0.5 BLKWIN +0.41ubet −245 · bet_clv:2372015 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.6% · actual 0 · 35.4 min · started
Egor Demin Under 0.5 BLKVOID +0.00ubet −250 · bet_clv:2372008 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.1% · actual 0
Keon Ellis Under 1.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +215 · bet_clv:2372003 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.2% · unexplained · actual 2 · 22.4 min · started
Sam Merrill Under 12.5 PRAWIN +1.11ubet +111 · bet_clv:2371995 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 12 · 21.1 min · started
Sam Merrill Under 10.5 PRWIN +1.10ubet +110 · bet_clv:2371994 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 9 · 21.1 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 29.5 PRWIN +1.00ubet +100 · bet_clv:2371987 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.1% · actual 27 · 35.5 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 0.5 BLKLOSS −1.00ubet −215 · bet_clv:2371985 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.9% · unexplained · actual 1 · 35.5 min · started
Julius Randle Under 12.5 RAWIN +0.74ubet −135 · bet_clv:2368270 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.1% · actual 11 · 35.4 min · started
Evan Mobley Over 0.5 3PMWIN +0.60ubet −167 · bet_clv:2368255 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 64.3% · actual 2 · 35.4 min · started
Evan Mobley Under 9.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −170 · bet_clv:2368254 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 64.1% · unexplained · actual 10 · 35.4 min · started
Evan Mobley Under 7.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +162 · bet_clv:2363861 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.0% · unexplained · actual 10 · 35.4 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Over 9.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +156 · bet_clv:2363858 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.0% · unexplained · actual 8 · 22.7 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +205 · bet_clv:2363849 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 37.8% · unexplained · actual 5 · 35.5 min · started
Michael Porter Jr Under 19.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +144 · bet_clv:2363855 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.5% · actual 0
Julius Randle Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +185 · bet_clv:2360399 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.0% · unexplained · actual 6 · 35.4 min · started
James Harden Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +165 · bet_clv:2360395 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.1% · unexplained · actual 8 · 33.5 min · started
Mikel Brown Jr. Under 9.5 PTSWIN +0.53ubet −190 · bet_clv:2360390 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 72.2% · actual 8 · 20.1 min · started
Peyton Watson Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +185 · bet_clv:2360385 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.7% · unexplained · actual 11 · 30.6 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 9.5 PTSWIN +1.20ubet +120 · bet_clv:2360379 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.1% · actual 7 · 22.7 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 1.5 ASTWIN +3.95ubet +395 · bet_clv:2360378 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 31.2% · actual 1 · 22.7 min · started
Jarrett Allen Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +213 · bet_clv:2360374 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.0% · unexplained · actual 8 · 27.3 min · started
Jarrett Allen Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +167 · bet_clv:2360373 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.0% · unexplained · actual 21 · 27.3 min · started
Jaylon Tyson Under 0.5 STLLOSS −1.00ubet +110 · bet_clv:2360389 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 1 · 20.6 min · started
Julius Randle Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +194 · bet_clv:2356298 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.2% · unexplained · actual 23 · 35.4 min · started
Julius Randle Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +163 · bet_clv:2356296 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.5% · unexplained · actual 5 · 35.4 min · started
James Harden Under 1.5 3PMWIN +1.75ubet +175 · bet_clv:2356295 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.7% · actual 1 · 33.5 min · started
James Harden Under 14.5 PTSWIN +2.05ubet +205 · bet_clv:2356293 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.6% · actual 12 · 33.5 min · started
Egor Demin Over 18.5 PRAVOID +0.00ubet +115 · bet_clv:2356290 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.2% · actual 0
Peyton Watson Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.35ubet −285 · bet_clv:2356287 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 74.1% · actual 3 · 30.6 min · started
Keon Ellis Under 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −147 · bet_clv:2356286 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.0% · unexplained · actual 2 · 22.4 min · started
Keon Ellis Under 11.5 PRAWIN +1.20ubet +120 · bet_clv:2356285 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.1% · actual 9 · 22.4 min · started
Keon Ellis Under 9.5 PTSWIN +0.45ubet −220 · bet_clv:2356284 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.5% · actual 6 · 22.4 min · started
Evan Mobley Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +175 · bet_clv:2356282 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.2% · unexplained · actual 20 · 35.4 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +233 · bet_clv:2356281 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.0% · unexplained · actual 8 · 22.7 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Over 7.5 REBWIN +0.61ubet −163 · bet_clv:2356280 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.3% · actual 8 · 22.7 min · started
Michael Porter Jr Under 2.5 3PMVOID +0.00ubet +155 · bet_clv:2356279 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.8% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Under 24.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet −215 · bet_clv:2356278 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.8% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Under 14.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +239 · bet_clv:2356277 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.0% · actual 0
Jarrett Allen Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +119 · bet_clv:2356275 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 8 · 27.3 min · started
Jarrett Allen Under 1.5 BLKWIN +0.46ubet −216 · bet_clv:2356272 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.7% · actual 1 · 27.3 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +144 · bet_clv:2356270 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 4 · 35.5 min · started
Jarrett Allen Under 1.5 ASTWIN +0.68ubet −147 · bet_clv:2348716 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.0% · actual 0 · 27.3 min · started
Jaylon Tyson Under 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −155 · bet_clv:2348724 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.3% · unexplained · actual 3 · 20.6 min · started
Sam Merrill Over 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −143 · bet_clv:2348721 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.3% · unexplained · actual 1 · 21.1 min · started
Jarrett Allen Under 9.5 REBWIN +0.48ubet −210 · bet_clv:2348718 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.5% · actual 8 · 27.3 min · started
James Harden Under 7.5 ASTWIN +0.65ubet −155 · bet_clv:2356292 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.7% · actual 7 · 33.5 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 9.5 REBWIN +0.71ubet −141 · bet_clv:2368252 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.8% · actual 8 · 22.7 min · started
Julius Randle Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.34ubet −290 · bet_clv:2343609 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.3% · actual 23 · 35.4 min · started
James Harden Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −290 · bet_clv:2343608 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.9% · unexplained · actual 8 · 33.5 min · started
James Harden Under 19.5 PTSWIN +0.56ubet −180 · bet_clv:2343607 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 64.3% · actual 12 · 33.5 min · started
James Harden Under 5.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +205 · bet_clv:2343606 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.1% · unexplained · actual 7 · 33.5 min · started
Egor Demin Under 9.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +140 · bet_clv:2343605 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.6% · actual 0
Jaylon Tyson Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.47ubet −215 · bet_clv:2343604 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.7% · actual 1 · 20.6 min · started
Jaylon Tyson Under 3.5 REBWIN +1.85ubet +185 · bet_clv:2343603 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.8% · actual 1 · 20.6 min · started
Keon Ellis Under 1.5 ASTWIN +1.80ubet +180 · bet_clv:2343602 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.1% · actual 1 · 22.4 min · started
Evan Mobley Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −190 · bet_clv:2343601 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.3% · unexplained · actual 20 · 35.4 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.45ubet −220 · bet_clv:2343600 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.1% · actual 1 · 22.7 min · started
Sam Merrill Under 9.5 PTSWIN +0.61ubet −165 · bet_clv:2343599 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 64.8% · actual 7 · 21.1 min · started
Michael Porter Jr Under 3.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet −415 · bet_clv:2343598 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 82.8% · actual 0
Jarrett Allen Under 7.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +142 · bet_clv:2343597 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.2% · unexplained · actual 8 · 27.3 min · started
Jarrett Allen Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2343596 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.1% · unexplained · actual 21 · 27.3 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 5.5 ASTWIN +0.47ubet −215 · bet_clv:2343593 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.8% · actual 4 · 35.5 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.53ubet −190 · bet_clv:2343595 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.7% · actual 5 · 35.5 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 29.5 PTSWIN +0.45ubet −220 · bet_clv:2343594 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.1% · actual 22 · 35.5 min · started
Donovan Mitchell Under 26.5 PTSWIN +0.72ubet −138 · bet_clv:2368245 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.5% · actual 22 · 35.5 min · started
Data fetches · 19
sds history (h2h)ok · 27 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 33 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 33 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 33 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 39 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 89 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 110 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 138 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 152 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 154 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 155 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 171 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 174 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 178 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 233 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 184 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 260 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 500 ms
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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.