02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Verified pre-tip publication record

These exact IDs were recorded before tip and match the Board and daily Ledger. Outcomes are joined by the same IDs; paper signals remain distinct from recommended stakes.

Publication #31 · · 1 active signals · 3 earlier withdrawn IDs retained in the daily Ledger

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed
0 / 0
Latest publication attempt
unknown
Status observed since

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

J. Brown · Under 14.5 pointsLostPosted at 4.00 · last price before start pendingPublished #2354604Lost

Posted at 4.00

Pinnacle, the reference bookmaker, does not price NBA player lines

No price history for this line.

Exact published pick #2354604. Recorded model stake: 2 units. The broader CORE flat-1u benchmark is separate; it is not a recommended1u wager or the exact published cohort’s ROI.

Investigate this prop →
Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 35 rostered players. 1 published pick uses separate saved records.

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Milwaukee Bucksplaying PHI

18 players have no line from any bookmaker: Herro (32 expected minutes) · Jr. (31 min) · +16 more

Philadelphia 76ersplaying MIL

17 players have no line from any bookmaker: Maxey (38 expected minutes) · Brown (35 min) · +15 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Sign in to view saved research →Coverage has not been checked in this session. Missing access is not missing data.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Out Hukporti · earlier listed as unlisted (changed )

Out Barlow · earlier listed as unlisted (changed )

Out James · earlier listed as available (changed ) · 34, 33 and 33 min in the last 3 games

Fall · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed )

Out Embiid · right foot foot injury management (foot) · PHI

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed () · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

For 3 players (Turner, Rollins, Jr.) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Rest

MIL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 1 published pick uses separate saved records.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Hukporti out () · played

Flagged before the game: Barlow out () · played

Flagged before the game: James out () · played

Flagged before the game: Fall out () · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

One game proves nothing.
Final · 0 of 1 pick wonPublished pick IDs: 0 won, 1 lost; 0 awaiting verified settlement. Positive-stake and paper results are separated in the daily Ledger; no combined unit return is claimed here. · checked

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

PHI vs MIL · last 24 games · MIL leads · PHI record 9–15 · average score 113.6–116.9 · PHI has lost by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Oct · MIL 116 at PHI 127PHI won
12 Apr · MIL 106 at PHI 126PHI won
What each defense gives up per game
MIL gives up126.2 points · 46.0 rebounds · 29.7 assists · 34.9% from three-point range
PHI gives up104.9 points · 49.3 rebounds · 23.3 assists · 32.1% from three-point range
Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIL gives up 126.2 points a game · 27th of 29 · league average 113.7+12.5 vs average
PHI gives up 104.9 points a game · 2nd of 29 · league average 113.7−8.8 vs average
How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1
Jaylen Brown · U 14.5 points+300value_edge_pct – · kelly 2.00u
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 66
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Under 5.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +132 · bet_clv:2375374 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.9% · unexplained · actual 12 · 28.3 min · started
Jaime Jaquez Jr Under 1.5 3PMVOID +0.00ubet −186 · bet_clv:2375371 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.3% · actual 0
Anfernee Simons Over 2.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet +185 · bet_clv:2375364 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.1% · unexplained · actual 1 · 20.3 min · started
Jaylen Brown Over 11.5 RALOSS −1.00ubet +105 · bet_clv:2375361 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.9% · unexplained · actual 8 · 34.7 min · started
Jaylen Brown Over 31.5 PRLOSS −1.00ubet +109 · bet_clv:2375359 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 30 · 34.7 min · started
Tyrese Maxey Under 0.5 BLKWIN +0.91ubet −110 · bet_clv:2367568 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.8% · actual 0 · 36.1 min · started
Jaylen Brown Over 36.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +115 · bet_clv:2367562 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.4% · unexplained · actual 35 · 34.7 min · started
Jaylen Brown Over 29.5 PAWIN +1.22ubet +122 · bet_clv:2367560 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.3% · actual 32 · 34.7 min · started
Myles Turner Under 16.5 PRAWIN +1.14ubet +114 · bet_clv:2367557 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 6 · 19.9 min · bench
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 24.5 PRAVOID +0.00ubet +122 · bet_clv:2367576 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 0
Ryan Rollins Under 3.5 ASTWIN +2.05ubet +205 · bet_clv:2367569 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 38.3% · actual 3 · 25.4 min · started
Joel Embiid Under 9.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −165 · bet_clv:2363189 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.4% · unexplained · actual 11 · 36.2 min · started
Joel Embiid Under 39.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet −160 · bet_clv:2363188 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.9% · unexplained · actual 49 · 36.2 min · started
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 0.5 3PMVOID +0.00ubet −186 · bet_clv:2363183 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 65.8% · actual 0
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 18.5 PRVOID +0.00ubet −165 · bet_clv:2363182 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.0% · actual 0
Anfernee Simons Under 9.5 PTSWIN +1.35ubet +135 · bet_clv:2363173 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.2% · actual 4 · 20.3 min · started
Jaylen Brown Under 5.5 REBWIN +2.15ubet +215 · bet_clv:2363171 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.0% · actual 3 · 34.7 min · started
Jaylen Brown Over 7.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +163 · bet_clv:2363169 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.2% · unexplained · actual 3 · 34.7 min · started
Joel Embiid Under 23.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +122 · bet_clv:2359752 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.4% · unexplained · actual 28 · 36.2 min · started
Jaime Jaquez Jr Under 5.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet −295 · bet_clv:2359747 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 76.2% · actual 0
Ryan Rollins Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.36ubet −275 · bet_clv:2359746 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 77.5% · actual 4 · 25.4 min · started
Ryan Rollins Over 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −163 · bet_clv:2359745 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.6% · unexplained · actual 3 · 25.4 min · started
Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 PTSWIN +1.17ubet +117 · bet_clv:2359735 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.4% · actual 27 · 34.7 min · started
Myles Turner Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +163 · bet_clv:2359732 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.8% · unexplained · actual 5 · 19.9 min · bench
Kyle Kuzma Over 2.5 ASTWIN +0.94ubet −106 · bet_clv:2359738 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.2% · actual 3 · 35.0 min · started
Joel Embiid Over 22.5 PTSWIN +0.67ubet −150 · bet_clv:2354625 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.5% · actual 28 · 36.2 min · started
Joel Embiid Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +150 · bet_clv:2354624 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.7% · unexplained · actual 10 · 36.2 min · started
VJ Edgecombe Over 5.5 REBWIN +0.87ubet −115 · bet_clv:2354623 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.1% · actual 13 · 29.9 min · started
VJ Edgecombe Under 22.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +115 · bet_clv:2354621 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.4% · unexplained · actual 32 · 29.9 min · started
VJ Edgecombe Over 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +146 · bet_clv:2354620 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.9% · unexplained · actual 2 · 29.9 min · started
Jaime Jaquez Jr Under 4.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet +145 · bet_clv:2354619 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.4% · actual 0
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 22.5 PRAVOID +0.00ubet −170 · bet_clv:2354618 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.9% · actual 0
Jaime Jaquez Jr Under 17.5 PAVOID +0.00ubet +120 · bet_clv:2354617 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.8% · actual 0
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 4.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet +154 · bet_clv:2354616 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.7% · actual 0
Ryan Rollins Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +186 · bet_clv:2354615 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.4% · unexplained · actual 15 · 25.4 min · started
Tyrese Maxey Under 34.5 PRAWIN +1.15ubet +115 · bet_clv:2354614 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.9% · actual 34 · 36.1 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 0.5 STLWIN +0.92ubet −109 · bet_clv:2354611 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 55.5% · actual 0 · 31.3 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 24.5 PRWIN +1.15ubet +115 · bet_clv:2354610 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.9% · actual 19 · 31.3 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 14.5 PTSWIN +2.33ubet +233 · bet_clv:2354609 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.1% · actual 13 · 31.3 min · started
Kyle Kuzma Over 11.5 PTSWIN +1.25ubet +125 · bet_clv:2354607 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.9% · actual 14 · 35.0 min · started
Jaylen Brown Under 7.5 REBWIN +0.59ubet −170 · bet_clv:2354606 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.6% · actual 3 · 34.7 min · started
Jaylen Brown Under 3.5 REBWIN +3.00ubet +300 · bet_clv:2354605 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.2% · actual 3 · 34.7 min · started
Jaylen Brown Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +300 · bet_clv:2354604 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.5% · unexplained · actual 27 · 34.7 min · started
LeBron James Over 32.5 PRAVOID +0.00ubet +122 · bet_clv:2348085 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.3% · actual 0
LeBron James Under 14.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +210 · bet_clv:2348084 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.5% · actual 0
Joel Embiid Under 24.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −160 · bet_clv:2348083 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.9% · unexplained · actual 28 · 36.2 min · started
Joel Embiid Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +180 · bet_clv:2348082 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.0% · unexplained · actual 28 · 36.2 min · started
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 3.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet −127 · bet_clv:2348079 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.0% · actual 0
Jaylen Brown Under 5.5 ASTWIN +0.32ubet −310 · bet_clv:2342957 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 77.7% · actual 5 · 34.7 min · started
Myles Turner Over 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −113 · bet_clv:2342956 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.1% · unexplained · actual 0 · 19.9 min · bench
LeBron James Over 6.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet −108 · bet_clv:2342973 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 55.3% · actual 0
Joel Embiid Under 5.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −305 · bet_clv:2342972 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 77.5% · unexplained · actual 10 · 36.2 min · started
Joel Embiid Over 4.5 ASTWIN +1.56ubet +156 · bet_clv:2342971 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.4% · actual 10 · 36.2 min · started
VJ Edgecombe Under 7.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −245 · bet_clv:2342970 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.9% · unexplained · actual 13 · 29.9 min · started
VJ Edgecombe Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +152 · bet_clv:2342969 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.6% · unexplained · actual 13 · 29.9 min · started
Jaime Jaquez Jr Over 5.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet +150 · bet_clv:2342968 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.3% · actual 0
Ryan Rollins Over 4.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +200 · bet_clv:2342967 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.0% · unexplained · actual 4 · 25.4 min · started
Ryan Rollins Under 5.5 ASTWIN +0.45ubet −220 · bet_clv:2342966 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.1% · actual 3 · 25.4 min · started
Tyrese Maxey Under 29.5 PTSWIN +0.36ubet −275 · bet_clv:2342965 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 75.0% · actual 26 · 36.1 min · started
Tyrese Maxey Under 7.5 ASTWIN +0.30ubet −335 · bet_clv:2342964 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 75.8% · actual 4 · 36.1 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.41ubet −245 · bet_clv:2342963 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.7% · actual 13 · 31.3 min · started
Tyler Herro Over 20.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +104 · bet_clv:2342962 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.5% · unexplained · actual 13 · 31.3 min · started
Tyler Herro Under 5.5 ASTWIN +0.34ubet −295 · bet_clv:2342961 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 74.2% · actual 3 · 31.3 min · started
Kyle Kuzma Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2342960 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.2% · unexplained · actual 12 · 35.0 min · started
Jaylen Brown Under 24.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −165 · bet_clv:2342959 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.5% · unexplained · actual 27 · 34.7 min · started
Jaylen Brown Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +175 · bet_clv:2342958 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-24T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.6% · unexplained · actual 27 · 34.7 min · started
Data fetches · 19
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 83 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 83 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 83 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 159 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 166 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 247 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 251 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 262 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 269 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 272 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 273 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 274 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 282 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 326 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 407 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 89 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 106 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 979 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.