02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Verified pre-tip publication record

These exact IDs were recorded before tip and match the Board and daily Ledger. Outcomes are joined by the same IDs; paper signals remain distinct from recommended stakes.

Publication #57 · · 4 active signals · 6 earlier withdrawn IDs retained in the daily Ledger

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed
0 / 0
Latest publication attempt
unknown
Status observed since

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

A. Nembhard · Under 1.5 reboundsWonPosted at 4.00 · last price before start pendingPublished #2390905Won

Posted at 4.00

Pinnacle, the reference bookmaker, does not price NBA player lines

No price history for this line.

Exact published pick #2390905. Recorded model stake: 2 units. The broader CORE flat-1u benchmark is separate; it is not a recommended1u wager or the exact published cohort’s ROI.

Investigate this prop →
J. Randle · Under 14.5 pointsWonPosted at 3.64 · last price before start pendingPublished #2386988Won
M. Porter Jr · Under 14.5 pointsRefundedPosted at 4.17 · last price before start pendingPublished #2386969Refunded
D. Sharpe · Under 1.5 assistsWonPosted at 4.60 · last price before start pendingPublished #2390912Won

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Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 35 rostered players. 4 published picks use separate saved records.

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Indiana Pacersplaying BKN

17 players have no line from any bookmaker: Nembhard (33 expected minutes) · Siakam (33 min) · +15 more

Brooklyn Netsplaying IND

18 players have no line from any bookmaker: Randle (35 expected minutes) · Jr. (34 min) · +16 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Sign in to view saved research →Coverage has not been checked in this session. Missing access is not missing data.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Out Bilodeau · earlier listed as unlisted (changed )

Out Sheppard · earlier listed as may not play (changed ) · 12, 25 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Smith · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed ) · 12, 5 and 0 min in the last 3 games

Out Furphy · earlier listed as unlisted (changed ) · 15, 31 and 29 min in the last 3 games

Brown · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed ) · 1, 35 and 27 min in the last 3 games

Out McConnell · earlier listed as unlisted (changed ) · 18, 14 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Nesmith · likely to play · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Zubac · left ankle sprain (ankle) · IND

May not play Toppin · low back soreness (back) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Saraf · on assignment · BKN

Out Dëmin · right bone bruise · BKN

Out Nelson · two-way · BKN

Out Jefferson · on assignment · BKN

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed () · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

For 4 players (Nesmith, Walker, Powell, Mann) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Rest

BKN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 4 published picks use separate saved records.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Bilodeau out () · played

Flagged before the game: Sheppard out () · played

Flagged before the game: Smith out () · played

Flagged before the game: Furphy out () · played

Flagged before the game: Brown out () · played

Flagged before the game: McConnell out () · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

One game proves nothing.
Final · 3 of 4 picks wonPublished pick IDs: 3 won, 0 lost; 0 awaiting verified settlement. Positive-stake and paper results are separated in the daily Ledger; no combined unit return is claimed here. · checked

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

BKN vs IND · last 23 games · IND leads · BKN record 11–12 · average score 111.1–115.3 · BKN has lost by 4.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Oct · IND 136 at BKN 109BKN lost
9 Apr · IND 123 at BKN 94BKN lost
11 Feb · IND 115 at BKN 110BKN lost
What each defense gives up per game
IND gives up119.8 points · 48.0 rebounds · 27.3 assists · 36.3% from three-point range
BKN gives up121.2 points · 43.4 rebounds · 29.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range
Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 119.8 points a game · 24th of 29 · league average 113.7+6.1 vs average
BKN gives up 121.2 points a game · 25th of 29 · league average 113.7+7.5 vs average
How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 4
Andrew Nembhard · U 1.5 rebounds+300value_edge_pct – · kelly 2.00u
Julius Randle · U 14.5 points+264value_edge_pct – · kelly 2.00u
Michael Porter Jr · U 14.5 points+317value_edge_pct – · kelly 2.00u
Day'Ron Sharpe · U 1.5 assists+360value_edge_pct – · kelly 2.00u
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 63
Julius Randle Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.48ubet −210 · bet_clv:2394680 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.7% · actual 10 · 24.0 min · started
Keon Ellis Under 1.5 REBWIN +1.60ubet +160 · bet_clv:2394674 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.1% · actual 1 · 22.9 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Over 23.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +112 · bet_clv:2394670 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 16 · 16.2 min · bench
Obi Toppin Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −260 · bet_clv:2394665 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 72.1% · unexplained · actual 6 · 19.7 min · bench
Michael Porter Jr Under 2.5 3PMVOID +0.00ubet +165 · bet_clv:2394659 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.6% · actual 0
Ivica Zubac Over 1.5 ASTWIN +0.64ubet −156 · bet_clv:2394649 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 64.1% · actual 2 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Pascal Siakam Under 34.5 PRAWIN +0.74ubet −135 · bet_clv:2394647 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.1% · actual 34 · 25.6 min · started
Pascal Siakam Under 29.5 PRWIN +1.00ubet +100 · bet_clv:2394646 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 64.7% · actual 28 · 25.6 min · started
Pascal Siakam Over 30.5 PRLOSS −1.00ubet +115 · bet_clv:2394645 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · unexplained · actual 28 · 25.6 min · started
Keon Ellis Under 11.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +106 · bet_clv:2390916 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.4% · unexplained · actual 13 · 22.9 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Over 9.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +138 · bet_clv:2390915 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.8% · unexplained · actual 4 · 16.2 min · bench
Day'Ron Sharpe Over 0.5 BLKLOSS −1.00ubet −125 · bet_clv:2390913 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.4% · unexplained · actual 0 · 16.2 min · bench
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 1.5 ASTWIN +3.60ubet +360 · bet_clv:2390912 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 37.4% · actual 1 · 16.2 min · bench
Tyrese Haliburton Over 18.5 PTSWIN +1.07ubet +107 · bet_clv:2390911 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.8% · actual 24 · 31.4 min · started
Obi Toppin Under 19.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +104 · bet_clv:2390908 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.0% · unexplained · actual 24 · 19.7 min · bench
Obi Toppin Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −185 · bet_clv:2390907 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 65.2% · unexplained · actual 16 · 19.7 min · bench
Obi Toppin Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +135 · bet_clv:2390906 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.2% · unexplained · actual 16 · 19.7 min · bench
Andrew Nembhard Under 1.5 REBWIN +3.00ubet +300 · bet_clv:2390905 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.8% · actual 1 · 29.6 min · started
Michael Porter Jr Over 0.5 STLVOID +0.00ubet −178 · bet_clv:2390903 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.4% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Under 2.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet −135 · bet_clv:2390900 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.3% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Under 1.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet +175 · bet_clv:2390899 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.9% · actual 0
Ivica Zubac Under 13.5 REBWIN +0.38ubet −260 · bet_clv:2390898 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 78.2% · actual 1 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Julius Randle Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +185 · bet_clv:2386990 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.7% · unexplained · actual 7 · 24.0 min · started
Julius Randle Under 7.5 REBWIN +0.61ubet −165 · bet_clv:2386989 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.1% · actual 7 · 24.0 min · started
Julius Randle Under 14.5 PTSWIN +2.64ubet +264 · bet_clv:2386988 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.2% · actual 10 · 24.0 min · started
Julius Randle Under 19.5 PTSWIN +1.30ubet +130 · bet_clv:2386987 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.0% · actual 10 · 24.0 min · started
Julius Randle Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +178 · bet_clv:2386986 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.6% · unexplained · actual 7 · 24.0 min · started
Egor Demin Under 9.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +150 · bet_clv:2386985 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.3% · actual 0
Egor Demin Under 1.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet +270 · bet_clv:2386984 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.6% · actual 0
Keon Ellis Under 2.5 REBWIN +0.71ubet −141 · bet_clv:2386983 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.0% · actual 1 · 22.9 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 5.5 REBWIN +3.08ubet +308 · bet_clv:2386981 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.4% · actual 4 · 16.2 min · bench
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 11.5 RAWIN +1.15ubet +115 · bet_clv:2386980 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.0% · actual 5 · 16.2 min · bench
Tyrese Haliburton Under 29.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +135 · bet_clv:2386979 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.6% · unexplained · actual 38 · 31.4 min · started
Tyrese Haliburton Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +174 · bet_clv:2386978 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.7% · unexplained · actual 24 · 31.4 min · started
Tyrese Haliburton Under 7.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +160 · bet_clv:2386977 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.5% · unexplained · actual 10 · 31.4 min · started
Obi Toppin Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +155 · bet_clv:2386976 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.8% · unexplained · actual 6 · 19.7 min · bench
Andrew Nembhard Under 24.5 PRAWIN +0.77ubet −130 · bet_clv:2386974 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.0% · actual 18 · 29.6 min · started
Michael Porter Jr Under 29.5 PRAVOID +0.00ubet +120 · bet_clv:2386970 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.7% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Under 14.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +317 · bet_clv:2386969 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.5% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Under 19.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +160 · bet_clv:2386968 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.3% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Over 1.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet −144 · bet_clv:2386967 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.3% · actual 0
Ivica Zubac Under 9.5 REBWIN +2.05ubet +205 · bet_clv:2386966 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.0% · actual 1 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Ivica Zubac Under 7.5 REBWIN +3.00ubet +300 · bet_clv:2386965 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.5% · actual 1 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Ivica Zubac Under 9.5 PTSWIN +2.51ubet +251 · bet_clv:2386964 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.9% · actual 2 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Ivica Zubac Under 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +175 · bet_clv:2386963 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.5% · blowout_foul_trouble · actual 2 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Pascal Siakam Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +200 · bet_clv:2386960 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.7% · unexplained · actual 21 · 25.6 min · started
Pascal Siakam Under 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +213 · bet_clv:2386958 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.9% · unexplained · actual 6 · 25.6 min · started
Kelly Oubre Jr. Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −150 · bet_clv:2386957 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.7% · unexplained · actual 14 · 19.7 min · bench
Andrew Nembhard Under 3.5 REBWIN +0.42ubet −240 · bet_clv:2386975 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.0% · actual 1 · 29.6 min · started
Pascal Siakam Under 0.5 BLKWIN +0.48ubet −210 · bet_clv:2386959 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.2% · actual 0 · 25.6 min · started
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.54ubet −184 · bet_clv:2394669 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.5% · actual 1 · 16.2 min · bench
Day'Ron Sharpe Under 7.5 REBWIN +2.10ubet +210 · bet_clv:2382751 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.8% · actual 4 · 16.2 min · bench
Tyrese Haliburton Over 19.5 PTSWIN +1.17ubet +117 · bet_clv:2382750 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.2% · actual 24 · 31.4 min · started
Andrew Nembhard Under 5.5 ASTWIN +1.76ubet +176 · bet_clv:2382749 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.9% · actual 3 · 29.6 min · started
Andrew Nembhard Under 7.5 ASTWIN +0.48ubet −210 · bet_clv:2382748 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.4% · actual 3 · 29.6 min · started
Michael Porter Jr Under 7.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet −200 · bet_clv:2382747 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 66.2% · actual 0
Michael Porter Jr Under 3.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet −450 · bet_clv:2382745 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 82.1% · actual 0
Ivica Zubac Under 14.5 PTSWIN +1.20ubet +120 · bet_clv:2382744 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.9% · actual 2 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Ivica Zubac Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.25ubet −400 · bet_clv:2382743 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 79.9% · actual 2 · 7.0 min · bench · excused
Pascal Siakam Under 7.5 REBWIN +0.49ubet −205 · bet_clv:2382742 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 67.0% · actual 7 · 25.6 min · started
Pascal Siakam Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +174 · bet_clv:2382741 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.4% · unexplained · actual 7 · 25.6 min · started
Pascal Siakam Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.76ubet −132 · bet_clv:2382740 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.1% · actual 21 · 25.6 min · started
Michael Porter Jr Under 5.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet +176 · bet_clv:2382746 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.6% · actual 0
Data fetches · 22
sds history (h2h)ok · 23 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 35 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 35 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 36 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 41 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 62 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 122 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 124 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 125 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 140 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 143 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 144 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 182 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 246 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 263 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 101 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 105 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 134 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 136 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 138 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 567 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.