02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

Verified pre-tip publication record

These exact IDs were recorded before tip and match the Board and daily Ledger. Outcomes are joined by the same IDs; paper signals remain distinct from recommended stakes.

Publication #98 · · 1 active signals · 4 earlier withdrawn IDs retained in the daily Ledger

No new predictions are being generated here after tip. Saved calls and captured research are not current offers or injury confirmations.

This game’s current price coverage could not be verified. An empty price panel does not mean bookmakers have no lines.

Price comparison only: live snapshot enrichment and model inference were not requested by this game view. Source injuries, lineups and historical statistics are separate reads.

Evaluation coverage and timestamps

Status is slate-wide, observed only since the service started. It does not identify this game’s individual evaluation result.

Slate games processed
0 / 0
Latest publication attempt
unknown
Status observed since

No verified attempt timestamp was returned. This is unknown—not a successful empty evaluation.

A. Davis · Under 1.5 assistsWonPosted at 4.00 · last price before start pendingPublished #2410395Won

Posted at 4.00

Pinnacle, the reference bookmaker, does not price NBA player lines

No price history for this line.

Exact published pick #2410395. Recorded model stake: 2 units. The broader CORE flat-1u benchmark is separate; it is not a recommended1u wager or the exact published cohort’s ROI.

Investigate this prop →
Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 36 rostered players. 1 published pick uses separate saved records.

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Washington Wizardsplaying CHA

18 players have no line from any bookmaker: Young (35 expected minutes) · Davis (32 min) · +16 more

Charlotte Hornetsplaying WAS

18 players have no line from any bookmaker: Miller (34 expected minutes) · Reid (32 min) · +16 more

Saved gameplay research · not CORE picks

What did the models record?

Read frozen projections, minutes and lineup assumptions for this exact game. These are uncalibrated research—not official recommendations or evidence that the CORE selector ran.

Only original pre-tip captures are read. Nothing is newly forecast after tip; old availability assumptions are not current injury news.

Sign in to view saved research →Coverage has not been checked in this session. Missing access is not missing data.

Saved reads only · no new captures, current snapshots, odds requests or paid AI runs.

04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Dybantsa · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed ) · 30 and 27 min in the last 2 games

Out Watkins · earlier listed as unlisted (changed ) · 34, 31 and 28 min in the last 3 games

Out Beekman · earlier listed as available (changed ) · 32, 13 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Out Vukčević · earlier listed as unlisted (changed ) · 11, 20 and 16 min in the last 3 games

Out Okpara · two-way · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out White · left calf strain (calf) · CHA

Out Williams · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · CHA

Out Knueppel · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · CHA

Out Boswell · two-way · CHA

Out Ajayi · two-way · CHA

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed () · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

For 4 players (Ayton, Carrington, Salaün, O'Neale) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 1 published pick uses separate saved records.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: White out · played

Flagged before the game: Williams out · played

Flagged before the game: Knueppel out · played

Flagged before the game: Dybantsa out () · played

Flagged before the game: Watkins out () · played

Flagged before the game: Beekman out () · played

Flagged before the game: Vukčević out () · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

One game proves nothing.
Final · 1 of 1 pick wonPublished pick IDs: 1 won, 0 lost; 0 awaiting verified settlement. Positive-stake and paper results are separated in the daily Ledger; no combined unit return is claimed here. · checked

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

CHA vs WAS · last 27 games · CHA leads · CHA record 14–13 · average score 112.8–111.6 · CHA has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Oct · CHA 79 at WAS 95CHA lost
26 Oct · WAS 103 at CHA 110CHA won
22 Feb · CHA 129 at WAS 112CHA won
What each defense gives up per game
WAS gives up109.7 points · 49.0 rebounds · 23.8 assists · 28.7% from three-point range
CHA gives up106.4 points · 40.9 rebounds · 24.7 assists · 37.6% from three-point range
Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 109.7 points a game · 12th of 29 · league average 113.7−4.0 vs average
CHA gives up 106.4 points a game · 5th of 29 · league average 113.7−7.3 vs average
How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1
Anthony Davis · U 1.5 assists+300value_edge_pct – · kelly 2.00u
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 54
Anthony Davis Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +160 · bet_clv:2424458 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.2% · unexplained · actual 29 · 35.5 min · started
Anthony Davis Over 24.5 PTSWIN +3.00ubet +300 · bet_clv:2424457 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 35.6% · actual 29 · 35.5 min · started
Kyshawn George Under 7.5 RAWIN +1.30ubet +130 · bet_clv:2424456 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.4% · actual 6 · 28.9 min · started
Alex Sarr Over 0.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −150 · bet_clv:2424455 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.8% · unexplained · actual 0 · 25.6 min · started
Alex Sarr Over 5.5 REBWIN +0.93ubet −108 · bet_clv:2424454 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.8% · actual 6 · 25.6 min · started
Brandon Miller Over 0.5 BLKWIN +0.90ubet −111 · bet_clv:2424446 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 55.1% · actual 2 · 36.3 min · started
Moussa Diabate Under 9.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet −130 · bet_clv:2424444 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.4% · actual 0
Naz Reid Over 0.5 BLKLOSS −1.00ubet −129 · bet_clv:2424440 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.4% · unexplained · actual 0 · 28.5 min · started
Trae Young Over 24.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +335 · bet_clv:2424435 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 29.8% · unexplained · actual 22 · 37.5 min · started
Dennis Schroder Over 3.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet +117 · bet_clv:2417318 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · actual 0
Dennis Schroder Over 5.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet −122 · bet_clv:2417317 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.0% · actual 0
Anthony Davis Under 9.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +130 · bet_clv:2417315 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.1% · unexplained · actual 10 · 35.5 min · started
Anthony Davis Under 11.5 REBWIN +0.54ubet −185 · bet_clv:2417314 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.1% · actual 10 · 35.5 min · started
Sion James Over 13.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +125 · bet_clv:2417312 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.3% · unexplained · actual 10 · 28.7 min · started
Kyshawn George Under 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +264 · bet_clv:2417309 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.7% · unexplained · actual 2 · 28.9 min · started
Alex Sarr Over 19.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +113 · bet_clv:2417308 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · unexplained · actual 19 · 25.6 min · started
Alex Sarr Over 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +178 · bet_clv:2417306 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.8% · unexplained · actual 1 · 25.6 min · started
Ryan Kalkbrenner Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +190 · bet_clv:2417305 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.9% · unexplained · actual 4 · 13.2 min · bench
Bilal Coulibaly Over 0.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −178 · bet_clv:2417304 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 65.0% · unexplained · actual 0 · 28.6 min · started
Bilal Coulibaly Under 1.5 STLWIN +0.68ubet −148 · bet_clv:2417303 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.5% · actual 1 · 28.6 min · started
Moussa Diabate Over 0.5 STLVOID +0.00ubet −178 · bet_clv:2417298 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 65.3% · actual 0
Moussa Diabate Under 7.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet +184 · bet_clv:2417295 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.4% · actual 0
Justin Champagnie Over 13.5 PRLOSS −1.00ubet +113 · bet_clv:2417294 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.5% · blowout_foul_trouble · actual 4 · 3.9 min · bench · excused
Naz Reid Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +174 · bet_clv:2417293 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.7% · unexplained · actual 12 · 28.5 min · started
Naz Reid Under 17.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +123 · bet_clv:2417292 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · unexplained · actual 18 · 28.5 min · started
Naz Reid Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +200 · bet_clv:2417290 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.1% · unexplained · actual 18 · 28.5 min · started
Naz Reid Under 1.5 ASTWIN +2.17ubet +217 · bet_clv:2417289 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.5% · actual 1 · 28.5 min · started
Trae Young Under 11.5 ASTWIN +0.44ubet −225 · bet_clv:2417287 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.0% · actual 10 · 37.5 min · started
Naz Reid Under 19.5 PTSWIN +0.74ubet −136 · bet_clv:2417291 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.9% · actual 18 · 28.5 min · started
Trae Young Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −350 · bet_clv:2424437 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 78.0% · unexplained · actual 6 · 37.5 min · started
Dennis Schroder Over 21.5 PAVOID +0.00ubet +115 · bet_clv:2410402 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · actual 0
Dennis Schroder Under 3.5 ASTVOID +0.00ubet +251 · bet_clv:2410401 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.3% · actual 0
Anthony Davis Over 10.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −102 · bet_clv:2410400 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.2% · unexplained · actual 10 · 35.5 min · started
Anthony Davis Under 7.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +251 · bet_clv:2410399 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 39.1% · unexplained · actual 10 · 35.5 min · started
Anthony Davis Under 24.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −210 · bet_clv:2410398 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.1% · unexplained · actual 29 · 35.5 min · started
Anthony Davis Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +239 · bet_clv:2410397 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.9% · unexplained · actual 29 · 35.5 min · started
Anthony Davis Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.42ubet −240 · bet_clv:2410396 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.1% · actual 0 · 35.5 min · started
Anthony Davis Under 1.5 ASTWIN +3.00ubet +300 · bet_clv:2410395 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.2% · actual 0 · 35.5 min · started
Tre Johnson Under 9.5 PTSWIN +1.30ubet +130 · bet_clv:2410394 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.4% · actual 7 · 22.9 min · started
Kyshawn George Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +182 · bet_clv:2410393 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.6% · unexplained · actual 20 · 28.9 min · started
Alex Sarr Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +140 · bet_clv:2410392 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.8% · unexplained · actual 12 · 25.6 min · started
Bilal Coulibaly Over 3.5 REBWIN +0.83ubet −121 · bet_clv:2410391 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.2% · actual 5 · 28.6 min · started
Bilal Coulibaly Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.30ubet −330 · bet_clv:2410390 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 76.1% · actual 5 · 28.6 min · started
Brandon Miller Under 2.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet +180 · bet_clv:2410389 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.6% · unexplained · actual 5 · 36.3 min · started
Brandon Miller Under 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +106 · bet_clv:2410388 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.5% · unexplained · actual 6 · 36.3 min · started
Brandon Miller Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +150 · bet_clv:2410387 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.3% · unexplained · actual 39 · 36.3 min · started
Moussa Diabate Under 5.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet +119 · bet_clv:2410386 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.7% · actual 0
Trae Young Under 1.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +192 · bet_clv:2410382 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.9% · unexplained · actual 6 · 37.5 min · started
Trae Young Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +217 · bet_clv:2410381 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.0% · unexplained · actual 22 · 37.5 min · started
Trae Young Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +136 · bet_clv:2410380 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.7% · unexplained · actual 22 · 37.5 min · started
Trae Young Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.38ubet −260 · bet_clv:2410379 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.5% · actual 22 · 37.5 min · started
Moussa Diabate Under 9.5 REBVOID +0.00ubet −136 · bet_clv:2410385 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.1% · actual 0
Justin Champagnie Under 7.5 REBWIN +0.36ubet −275 · bet_clv:2410384 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 72.5% · actual 2 · 3.9 min · bench · excused
Naz Reid Over 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −130 · bet_clv:2410383 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.2% · unexplained · actual 1 · 28.5 min · started
Data fetches · 19
sds history (h2h)ok · 12 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 28 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 29 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 29 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 29 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 149 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 151 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 152 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 153 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 155 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 159 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 168 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 210 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 212 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 230 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 234 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 107 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 112 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 687 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.