WNBA · May 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx

FinalSEA 93 – MIN 102Page updated 23:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Ezi Magbegor · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 10 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 19 actual

Napheesa Collier · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 29 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SEA expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 166 points · odds to win: SEA 1.87, MIN 2.01

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 23:28 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 41 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Napheesa Collier · points 20.5 → 29 · 8.5 above the line · played 44.1 min · no final price

Kayla McBride · points 13.5 → 19 · 5.5 above the line · played 43.5 min · no final price

Ezi Magbegor · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 42.4 min · no final price

Courtney Williams · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs SEA · last 19 games · MIN leads · MIN record 11–8 · average score 84.2–85.6 · MIN has lost by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Jul · MIN 86 at SEA 76MIN won

20 Jul · MIN 105 at SEA 102MIN won

6 Jun · SEA 68 at MIN 88MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SEA expected to win by 1.5, expected total 166 (Sat 01:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 53 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 57 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 62 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 67 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 177 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 180 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 183 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 190 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 142 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 222 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 772 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 748 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 765 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1089 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1096 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.