WNBA · May 18 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Sparks at Las Vegas Aces

FinalLAS 82 – LVA 89Page updated 22:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Sparks

Cameron Brink · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 3 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 29 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 22 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 18 · both teams together expected to score about 169 points · odds to win: LAS 12.30, LVA 1.06

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 18:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 31 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Dearica Hamby · points 14.5 → 29 · 14.5 above the line · played 33.2 min · no final price

Jackie Young · assists 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 38.6 min · no final price

Cameron Brink · points 10.5 → 3 · 7.5 below the line · played 25.1 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · points 23.5 → 22 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs LAS · last 21 games · LVA leads · LVA record 16–5 · average score 91.3–79.5 · LVA has won by 11.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Sep · LAS 79 at LVA 89LVA won

2 Jun · LVA 79 at LAS 69LVA won

23 May · LAS 101 at LVA 95LVA lost

10 May · LVA 105 at LAS 78LVA won

What each defense gives up per game

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.0 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.2 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 18, expected total 169 (Sat 18:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 18:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 72 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 73 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 80 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 207 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 217 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 225 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 276 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 762 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1430 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 578 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 606 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.