WNBA · May 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks

FinalWAS 68 – LAS 70Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Mystics

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 12 actual

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 9 actual

Cameron Brink · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 17 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAS expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 158.5 points · odds to win: WAS 2.14, LAS 1.76

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

WAS also played the day before this game · LAS had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 30 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Cameron Brink · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 29.9 min · no final price

Ariel Atkins · points 16.5 → 9 · 7.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · no final price

Shakira Austin · points 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 21.3 min · no final price

Dearica Hamby · points 18.5 → 17 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAS vs WAS · last 16 games · LAS leads · LAS record 10–6 · average score 82.3–81.0 · LAS has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Aug · WAS 82 at LAS 88LAS won

15 Aug · LAS 70 at WAS 80LAS lost

29 May · LAS 92 at WAS 87LAS won

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAS expected to win by 2, expected total 158.5 (Wed 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 70 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 72 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 183 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 201 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 203 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 204 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 243 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 20 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 91 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 646 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 828 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 829 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 830 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.