WNBA · May 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces

FinalIND 80 – LVA 99Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 8 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 29 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 16 · both teams together expected to score about 174.5 points · odds to win: IND 10.64, LVA 1.07

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 37 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Caitlin Clark · points 19.5 → 8 · 11.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · no final price

NaLyssa Smith · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 18.9 min · no final price

Aliyah Boston · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.8 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · points 24.5 → 29 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Jackie Young · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs IND · last 23 games · LVA leads · LVA record 16–7 · average score 85.7–81.9 · LVA has won by 3.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Sep · LVA 89 at IND 99LVA lost

27 Sep · IND 85 at LVA 102LVA won

6 Aug · LVA 86 at IND 84LVA won

12 Jul · IND 109 at LVA 75LVA lost

5 Jul · IND 84 at LVA 68LVA lost

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.9 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 12.7 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.0 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.2 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 16, expected total 174.5 (Sun 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 12 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 14 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 18 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 30 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 137 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 517 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 459 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 460 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 461 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 462 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 478 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 493 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.