WNBA · May 29 gameFull sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Minnesota Lynx

FinalLVA 80 – MIN 66Page updated 16:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 29 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 10 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 11 actual

Napheesa Collier · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 169.5 points · odds to win: LVA 1.55, MIN 2.58

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:49 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 46 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Napheesa Collier · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · no final price

Jackie Young · assists 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Courtney Williams · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 33 min · no final price

Kayla McBride · points 14.5 → 11 · 3.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · points 23.5 → 29 · 5.5 above the line · played 32 min · no final price

NaLyssa Smith · points 13.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs LVA · last 19 games · LVA leads · MIN record 9–10 · average score 87.1–84.6 · MIN has won by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Aug · MIN 92 at LVA 87MIN won

8 Aug · LVA 87 at MIN 98MIN won

13 Jun · MIN 97 at LVA 100MIN lost

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.0 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.2 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 71 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 82 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 83 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 98 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 234 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 253 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 282 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 322 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 354 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 524 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

odds game timelinefailed · 6001 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed · 6001 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6001 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed · 6003 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed · 6004 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6003 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6004 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.