WNBA · Jun 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Wings at Minnesota Lynx

FinalDAL 76 – MIN 87Page updated 20:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Wings

Alanna Smith · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 8 actual

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Maddy Siegrist · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 10 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 25 actual

Napheesa Collier · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 24 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 163 points · odds to win: DAL 3.23, MIN 1.38

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:19 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 43 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Kayla McBride · points 12.5 → 25 · 12.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Arike Ogunbowale · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.6 min · no final price

Alanna Smith · points 11.5 → 8 · 3.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Courtney Williams · points 11.5 → 10 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.4 min · no final price

Napheesa Collier · points 21.5 → 24 · 2.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Maddy Siegrist · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DAL · last 19 games · MIN leads · MIN record 13–6 · average score 88.1–83.7 · MIN has won by 4.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Aug · DAL 90 at MIN 103MIN won

28 Jun · MIN 85 at DAL 77MIN won

9 Jun · DAL 76 at MIN 100MIN won

14 May · MIN 90 at DAL 86MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 6.5, expected total 163 (Sun 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 57 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 59 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 63 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 73 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 105 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 278 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 280 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 283 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 44 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 319 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 460 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 346 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 610 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 611 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 628 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 635 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 695 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.