WNBA · Jun 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Fever at New York Liberty

FinalIND 68 – NYL 104Page updated 20:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 5 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 3 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 21 actual

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 6 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 14.5 · both teams together expected to score about 169.5 points · odds to win: IND 9.05, NYL 1.09

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:19 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 49 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Caitlin Clark · points 20.5 → 3 · 17.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · no final price

Aliyah Boston · points 12.5 → 5 · 7.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · no final price

Breanna Stewart · rebounds 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 16.5 → 21 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.1 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.4 min · no final price

Sabrina Ionescu · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs IND · last 19 games · NYL leads · NYL record 14–5 · average score 93.5–85.3 · NYL has won by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Aug · IND 102 at NYL 109NYL won

11 Aug · NYL 92 at IND 106NYL lost

18 Jul · NYL 88 at IND 108NYL lost

6 Jun · IND 75 at NYL 83NYL won

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.9 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 12.7 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 14.5, expected total 169.5 (Sun 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 6 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 44 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 145 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 151 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 1 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 161 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 226 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 228 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 231 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 741 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1511 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 172 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2030 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2075 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2077 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2093 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2131 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2149 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.