WNBA · Jun 4 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Liberty at Chicago Sky

FinalNYL 88 – CHI 75Page updated 17:55 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 12 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Chicago Sky

Courtney Vandersloot · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Elizabeth Williams · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Kamilla Cardoso · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 12.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 164.5 points · odds to win: NYL 1.27, CHI 4.03

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:55 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CHI had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 72 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Kamilla Cardoso · points + rebounds 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 11.7 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · rebounds 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · no final price

Elizabeth Williams · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · no final price

Sabrina Ionescu · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

Breanna Stewart · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.5 min · no final price

Courtney Vandersloot · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs NYL · last 23 games · NYL leads · CHI record 9–14 · average score 82.5–83.9 · CHI has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Aug · CHI 66 at NYL 85CHI lost

18 Aug · NYL 86 at CHI 93CHI won

22 Jul · CHI 94 at NYL 95CHI lost

17 Jun · NYL 96 at CHI 95CHI lost

11 Sep · NYL 91 at CHI 86CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 8.5, expected total 164.5 (Tue 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 100 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 103 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 221 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 234 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 245 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 251 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 263 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 272 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 108 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 737 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 153 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1745 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2006 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2265 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2266 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 2275 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2463 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.