WNBA · Jun 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Dallas Wings

FinalLVA 95 – DAL 81Page updated 17:55 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 36 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Dallas Wings

Alysha Clark · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Maddy Siegrist · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 167.5 points · odds to win: LVA 1.24, DAL 4.39

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:55 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 55 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Alysha Clark · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Arike Ogunbowale · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · points 25.5 → 36 · 10.5 above the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

Jackie Young · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · no final price

Maddy Siegrist · points 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs LVA · last 21 games · LVA leads · DAL record 5–16 · average score 84.0–91.0 · DAL has lost by 7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Jun · DAL 84 at LVA 99DAL lost

15 Jun · LVA 66 at DAL 96DAL won

28 May · LVA 87 at DAL 95DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.0 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.2 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 9, expected total 167.5 (Wed 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 58 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 61 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 65 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 71 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 72 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 266 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 271 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 277 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 281 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 275 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 386 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 419 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 831 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 449 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 458 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 463 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 469 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 478 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 485 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1026 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1125 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1127 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1187 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1237 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.