WNBA · Jun 7 gameFull sheet

Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces

FinalSEA 78 – LVA 65Page updated 17:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Ezi Magbegor · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 15 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 11 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 3 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 25 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 167 points · odds to win: SEA 3.78, LVA 1.30

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:34 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 30 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Jackie Young · points 19.5 → 3 · 16.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Ezi Magbegor · rebounds 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Jewell Loyd · points 20.5 → 25 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · rebounds 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 36 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs SEA · last 28 games · LVA leads · LVA record 22–6 · average score 89.0–79.8 · LVA has won by 9.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Sep · SEA 77 at LVA 98LVA won

17 Sep · LVA 114 at SEA 77LVA won

8 Jun · SEA 91 at LVA 101LVA won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.0 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.2 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 7.5, expected total 167 (Sat 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 40 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 45 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 46 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 55 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 58 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 67 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 163 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 171 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 180 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 142 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 213 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 27 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 553 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 821 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 556 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 603 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 753 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.