WNBA · Jun 10 gameFull sheet

Indiana Fever at Connecticut Sun

FinalIND 72 – CON 89Page updated 16:52 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 12 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 9 actual

Tyasha Harris · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Connecticut Sun

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CON expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 159 points · odds to win: IND 5.72, CON 1.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:52 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 49 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Aliyah Boston · rebounds 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Caitlin Clark · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 22 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 15.5 → 9 · 6.5 below the line · played 20.2 min · no final price

Tyasha Harris · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs IND · last 22 games · CON leads · CON record 15–7 · average score 85.1–81.4 · CON has won by 3.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Aug · CON 91 at IND 111CON lost

22 Jul · CON 88 at IND 123CON lost

13 Jun · IND 85 at CON 75CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.9 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 12.7 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CON expected to win by 10, expected total 159 (Mon 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 35 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 37 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 40 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 43 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 50 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 52 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 52 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 53 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 54 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 55 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 57 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 26 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 26 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 42 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.