WNBA · Jun 14 gameFull sheet

Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx

FinalLAS 76 – MIN 81Page updated 15:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Sparks

Cameron Brink · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 11 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Aari McDonald · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 10 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 1 actual

Napheesa Collier · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 160.5 points · odds to win: LAS 7.71, MIN 1.11

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:46 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 40 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Courtney Williams · assists 4.5 → 10 · 5.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Kayla McBride · 3-pointers 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · no final price

Aari McDonald · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Napheesa Collier · rebounds 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 37.5 min · no final price

Cameron Brink · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.8 min · no final price

Dearica Hamby · rebounds 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 40 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs LAS · last 18 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–3 · average score 83.4–76.0 · MIN has won by 7.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Aug · LAS 89 at MIN 82MIN lost

15 Jul · LAS 87 at MIN 96MIN won

17 Jun · MIN 99 at LAS 83MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.2−3.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 12.5, expected total 160.5 (Fri 23:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 23:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 10 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 12 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 92 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 97 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 99 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 116 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 134 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 512 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 954 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 430 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 455 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 460 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 466 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 468 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.