WNBA · Jun 15 gameFull sheet

Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings

FinalCON 85 – DAL 67Page updated 16:48 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes2 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Connecticut Sun

Dallas Wings

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 11 actual

Maddy Siegrist · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 16 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CON expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 157 points · odds to win: CON 1.33, DAL 3.52

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 16:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:48 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 7 days off before this game · DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 36 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

2 other players with a posted line

Arike Ogunbowale · points 24.5 → 11 · 13.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

Maddy Siegrist · points 13.5 → 16 · 2.5 above the line · played 39 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs CON · last 19 games · DAL leads · DAL record 10–9 · average score 83.1–82.7 · DAL has won by 0.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Aug · CON 71 at DAL 97DAL won

2 Aug · CON 63 at DAL 83DAL won

2 Jul · DAL 86 at CON 83DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up86.0 points · 33.2 rebounds · 20.0 assists · 8.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

DAL gives up 86.0 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 25

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 15 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 105 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 114 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 124 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 138 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

odds game timelinefailed · 6001 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6002 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6001 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.