WNBA · Jun 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Washington Mystics

FinalLVA 88 – WAS 77Page updated 05:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes2 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 11 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 26 actual

Washington Mystics

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 13 · both teams together expected to score about 174.5 points · odds to win: LVA 1.11, WAS 7.77

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 17:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 05:34 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 28 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

2 other players with a posted line

A'ja Wilson · points 27.5 → 11 · 16.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

Jackie Young · points 18.5 → 26 · 7.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

WAS vs LVA · last 16 games · LVA leads · WAS record 7–9 · average score 81.3–84.6 · WAS has lost by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

13 Aug · WAS 76 at LVA 83WAS lost

11 Aug · WAS 76 at LVA 86WAS lost

22 Jul · LVA 99 at WAS 100WAS won

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up86.2 points · 33.5 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.5% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 13.1 opponent turnovers

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 86.2 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 13, expected total 174.5 (Sat 17:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 17:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 25

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 66 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 69 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 83 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 206 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 208 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 212 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 215 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 220 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 161 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 245 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 26 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 128 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 505 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 510 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.