WNBA · Aug 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Mercury at Indiana Fever

FinalPHO 89 – IND 98Page updated 05:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Mercury

Kahleah Copper · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 32 actual

Natasha Mack · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 0 actual

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 14 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 29 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 28 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 174.5 points · odds to win: PHO 2.35, IND 1.65

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 05:33 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

PHO had 8 days off before this game · IND also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 64 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Natasha Mack · points 11.5 → 0 · 11.5 below the line · played 16.8 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 18.5 → 28 · 9.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Caitlin Clark · points 19.5 → 29 · 9.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · no final price

Kahleah Copper · points 23.5 → 32 · 8.5 above the line · played 38.3 min · no final price

Sophie Cunningham · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

Aliyah Boston · points 16.5 → 14 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs PHO · last 16 games · IND leads · IND record 8–8 · average score 83.9–87.8 · IND has lost by 3.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Jul · IND 92 at PHO 89IND won

24 Jun · PHO 111 at IND 109IND lost

22 Jun · PHO 77 at IND 86IND won

What each defense gives up per game

PHO gives up87.6 points · 34.0 rebounds · 21.5 assists · 9.7 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 36.1% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

PHO gives up 87.6 points a game · 8th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 3, expected total 174.5 (Fri 23:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 23:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 55 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 132 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 174 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 185 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 203 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 210 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 225 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 267 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 103 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 548 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 482 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 484 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 492 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 500 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 511 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 558 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.