WNBA · Sep 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Dream at Indiana Fever

FinalATL 100 – IND 104Page updated 01:53 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 17 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 36 actual

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 30 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 12 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 21 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 171 points · odds to win: ATL 2.79, IND 1.48

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 01:53 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

ATL had 11 days off before this game · IND had 41 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 55 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Aliyah Boston · points 14.5 → 30 · 15.5 above the line · played 41.4 min · no final price

Rhyne Howard · points 18.5 → 36 · 17.5 above the line · played 42.3 min · no final price

Jordin Canada · points 10.5 → 17 · 6.5 above the line · played 39.5 min · no final price

Caitlin Clark · assists 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 45 min · no final price

Allisha Gray · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 42.7 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 20.5 → 21 · 0.5 above the line · played 42.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs ATL · last 23 games · IND leads · IND record 12–11 · average score 84.8–86.0 · IND has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Aug · IND 95 at ATL 91IND won

20 Jun · IND 96 at ATL 113IND lost

18 Jun · ATL 108 at IND 101IND lost

4 Jun · ATL 71 at IND 83IND won

What each defense gives up per game

ATL gives up82.7 points · 32.1 rebounds · 18.4 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 45.5% of shots · 34.1% from three-point range · 15.2 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ATL gives up 82.7 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.0−4.3 vs average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.0+3.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 5, expected total 171 (Sun 19:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 19:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 46 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 98 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 149 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 191 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 209 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 223 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 230 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 116 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 21 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 60 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 91 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 92 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 93 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 96 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 98 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 698 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 537 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.