WNBA · Sep 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever

FinalLVA 78 – IND 74Page updated 05:03 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 17 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 21 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 20 actual

Lexie Hull · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 179 points · odds to win: LVA 1.54, IND 2.60

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 05:03 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA had 33 days off before this game · IND had 41 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 62 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Chelsea Gray · points 8.5 → 21 · 12.5 above the line · played 30 min · no final price

Lexie Hull · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · rebounds 11.5 → 17 · 5.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Caitlin Clark · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 34 min · no final price

Jackie Young · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 33 min · no final price

NaLyssa Smith · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 21.5 → 20 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Aliyah Boston · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs LVA · last 24 games · LVA leads · IND record 7–17 · average score 82.0–86.0 · IND has lost by 4.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Oct · IND 83 at LVA 94IND lost

29 Sep · LVA 89 at IND 99IND won

27 Sep · IND 85 at LVA 102IND lost

6 Aug · LVA 86 at IND 84IND lost

12 Jul · IND 109 at LVA 75IND won

5 Jul · IND 84 at LVA 68IND won

30 Sep · IND 98 at LVA 107IND lost

28 Sep · LVA 83 at IND 90IND won

26 Sep · LVA 84 at IND 72IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up85.8 points · 34.0 rebounds · 18.6 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.2% of shots · 34.5% from three-point range · 13.0 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 85.8 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.0+3.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 48 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 67 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 72 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 74 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 116 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 168 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 193 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 196 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 207 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 291 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 220 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 314 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 140 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 215 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 218 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 235 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 236 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 406 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 620 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.