WNBA · Sep 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces

FinalSEA 76 – LVA 83Page updated 01:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Ezi Magbegor · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 13 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 12 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 9 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 159 points · odds to win: SEA 4.26, LVA 1.25

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 01:35 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 49 days off before this game · LVA had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 64 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Ezi Magbegor · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · no final price

Jackie Young · points 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · rebounds 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Jewell Loyd · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Chelsea Gray · points 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs SEA · last 28 games · LVA leads · LVA record 22–6 · average score 89.0–79.8 · LVA has won by 9.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Sep · SEA 77 at LVA 98LVA won

17 Sep · LVA 114 at SEA 77LVA won

8 Jun · SEA 91 at LVA 101LVA won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up85.8 points · 34.0 rebounds · 18.6 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.2% of shots · 34.5% from three-point range · 13.0 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.0+1.9 vs average

LVA gives up 85.8 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 8, expected total 159 (Wed 01:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 65 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-23)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-20)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-21)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-18)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-12)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 113 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-16)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-14)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-22)ok 200 · 130 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-10)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-13)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-11)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-19)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-15)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-17)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 139 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 140 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 147 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 151 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 242 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 250 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 21 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 60 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 127 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 143 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 147 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 156 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 159 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 161 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.