WNBA · Oct 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty

FinalMIN 66 – NYL 80Page updated 01:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Napheesa Collier · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 16 actual

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 8 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 3 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 162.5 points · odds to win: MIN 3.90, NYL 1.29

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 18:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 01:33 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

MIN had 43 days off before this game · NYL had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 67 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Leonie Fiebich · points 9.5 → 3 · 6.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · no final price

Courtney Williams · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.1 min · no final price

Kayla McBride · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Napheesa Collier · points 20.5 → 16 · 4.5 below the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Breanna Stewart · rebounds 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.2 min · no final price

Sabrina Ionescu · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs MIN · last 23 games · NYL leads · NYL record 12–11 · average score 83.4–79.8 · NYL has won by 3.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Sep · MIN 71 at NYL 87NYL won

27 Sep · NYL 91 at MIN 75NYL won

18 Sep · NYL 93 at MIN 81NYL won

11 Jul · NYL 85 at MIN 90NYL lost

3 Jul · MIN 86 at NYL 99NYL won

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.0−3.1 vs average

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 42 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-01)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 67 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-10)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-02)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 128 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-11)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-09)ok 200 · 129 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 129 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 141 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-03)ok 200 · 159 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-06)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-07)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-05)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-04)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-29)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds games/date (2024-09-30)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-12)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds games/date (2024-10-08)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 181 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 194 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 280 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 307 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 318 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 131 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 132 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 616 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 620 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.