WNBA · May 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Fever at Atlanta Dream

FinalIND 81 – ATL 76Page updated 18:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 7 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 0 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 11 actual

Brionna Jones · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 11 actual

DeWanna Bonner · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 1 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 24 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 172.5 points · odds to win: IND 1.54, ATL 2.57

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:35 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

IND had 41 days off before this game · ATL had 11 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 52 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Caitlin Clark · 3-pointers 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · no final price

DeWanna Bonner · points 7.5 → 1 · 6.5 below the line · played 19.2 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 28 min · no final price

Brionna Jones · rebounds 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Rhyne Howard · points 17.5 → 24 · 6.5 above the line · played 37.1 min · no final price

Allisha Gray · points 16.5 → 11 · 5.5 below the line · played 31.1 min · no final price

Aliyah Boston · rebounds 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs IND · last 23 games · IND leads · ATL record 11–12 · average score 86.0–84.8 · ATL has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Aug · IND 95 at ATL 91ATL lost

20 Jun · IND 96 at ATL 113ATL won

18 Jun · ATL 108 at IND 101ATL won

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

ATL gives up82.7 points · 32.1 rebounds · 18.4 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 45.5% of shots · 34.1% from three-point range · 15.2 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.0+3.7 vs average

ATL gives up 82.7 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.0−4.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 15 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 16 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 19 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 21 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 111 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 40 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 162 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 129 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 158 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 160 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 162 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 172 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.