WNBA · Jul 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever

FinalLVA 70 – IND 80Page updated 18:26 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Las Vegas Aces

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

rebounds + assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 14.5 → 10 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 21 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 164.5 points · odds to win: LVA 1.73, IND 2.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:26 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LVA had 33 days off before this game · IND had 41 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 27 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

NaLyssa Smith · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Sophie Cunningham · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Jewell Loyd · points + rebounds 14.5 → 10 · 4.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · no final price

Jackie Young · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Aliyah Boston · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 19.5 → 21 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · no final price

Chelsea Gray · rebounds + assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs LVA · last 24 games · LVA leads · IND record 7–17 · average score 82.0–86.0 · IND has lost by 4.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Oct · IND 83 at LVA 94IND lost

29 Sep · LVA 89 at IND 99IND won

27 Sep · IND 85 at LVA 102IND lost

6 Aug · LVA 86 at IND 84IND lost

12 Jul · IND 109 at LVA 75IND won

5 Jul · IND 84 at LVA 68IND won

30 Sep · IND 98 at LVA 107IND lost

28 Sep · LVA 83 at IND 90IND won

26 Sep · LVA 84 at IND 72IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

LVA gives up85.8 points · 34.0 rebounds · 18.6 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.2% of shots · 34.5% from three-point range · 13.0 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LVA gives up 85.8 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.0+3.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 2, expected total 164.5 (Thu 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 10 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 12 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 88 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 130 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 78 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 79 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 128 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 141 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 143 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 144 ms

odds player timeline (ra)failed 503 · 144 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (ra)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

odds player timeline (pr)failed 503 · 180 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 506 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.