WNBA · Aug 8 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Liberty at Dallas Wings

FinalNYL 88 – DAL 77Page updated 18:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Liberty

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 14 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 16 actual

Dallas Wings

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 17 actual

Haley Jones · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Li Yueru · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 3 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 12 · both teams together expected to score about 170 points · odds to win: NYL 1.15, DAL 6.03

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

NYL had 33 days off before this game · DAL had 40 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 51 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Li Yueru · points 9.5 → 3 · 6.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · no final price

Haley Jones · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 18 min · no final price

Leonie Fiebich · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · no final price

Sabrina Ionescu · points 20.5 → 16 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · points 15.5 → 14 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Arike Ogunbowale · points 16.5 → 17 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Paige Bueckers · points 17.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs NYL · last 16 games · NYL leads · DAL record 6–10 · average score 84.3–87.9 · DAL has lost by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Jul · NYL 99 at DAL 98DAL lost

7 Jul · DAL 88 at NYL 77DAL won

24 May · DAL 91 at NYL 76DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 12, expected total 170 (Fri 23:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 23:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 17 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 26 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 83 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 125 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 143 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 82 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 92 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 120 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 160 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 162 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 163 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 523 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.