WNBA · Aug 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at Minnesota Lynx

FinalWAS 76 – MIN 80Page updated 18:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Mystics

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 9 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 12 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 26 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 158 points · odds to win: WAS 5.43, MIN 1.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

WAS had 42 days off before this game · MIN had 43 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 44 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Sonia Citron · points 13.5 → 26 · 12.5 above the line · played 28.4 min · no final price

Kayla McBride · points 15.5 → 11 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Kiki Iriafen · rebounds 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.8 min · no final price

Shakira Austin · points 14.5 → 12 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.7 min · no final price

Courtney Williams · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs WAS · last 16 games · MIN leads · MIN record 10–6 · average score 78.0–76.8 · MIN has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Aug · MIN 94 at WAS 84MIN won

24 Jun · MIN 78 at WAS 76MIN won

21 Jun · WAS 84 at MIN 79MIN lost

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.0−3.9 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.0−3.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 76 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 115 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 132 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 140 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 149 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 150 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 161 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 69 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 167 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 269 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 254 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 301 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 326 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.