WNBA · Aug 13 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces

FinalNYL 77 – LVA 83Page updated 18:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Liberty

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 11 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 18 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 16 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 21 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 172.5 points · odds to win: NYL 2.25, LVA 1.68

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 01:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

NYL had 33 days off before this game · LVA had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 80 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jewell Loyd · points 11.5 → 21 · 9.5 above the line · played 26.3 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · rebounds 10.5 → 16 · 5.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Leonie Fiebich · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Chelsea Gray · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 39 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · points 15.5 → 11 · 4.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

NaLyssa Smith · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Jackie Young · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Sabrina Ionescu · points 19.5 → 18 · 1.5 below the line · played 31 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs NYL · last 25 games · NYL leads · LVA record 10–15 · average score 84.5–87.0 · LVA has lost by 2.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Aug · LVA 71 at NYL 111LVA lost

30 Jul · NYL 99 at LVA 104LVA won

30 Jun · LVA 85 at NYL 93LVA lost

23 Jun · NYL 87 at LVA 76LVA lost

What each defense gives up per game

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up85.8 points · 34.0 rebounds · 18.6 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.2% of shots · 34.5% from three-point range · 13.0 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

LVA gives up 85.8 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 93 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 120 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 121 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 134 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 137 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 187 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 192 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 237 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 155 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 174 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 225 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 702 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.