WNBA · Aug 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Wings at Las Vegas Aces

FinalDAL 87 – LVA 106Page updated 18:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Wings

Maddy Siegrist · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Las Vegas Aces

A'ja Wilson · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 34 actual

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 14 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 12 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 172 points · odds to win: DAL 5.23, LVA 1.18

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

DAL had 40 days off before this game · LVA had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 37 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Chelsea Gray · assists 5.5 → 14 · 8.5 above the line · played 31.8 min · no final price

NaLyssa Smith · rebounds 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 21.5 min · no final price

A'ja Wilson · points 23.5 → 34 · 10.5 above the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

Maddy Siegrist · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · no final price

Paige Bueckers · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Jackie Young · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.22, Under 1.63

Jewell Loyd · points 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs DAL · last 21 games · LVA leads · LVA record 16–5 · average score 91.0–84.0 · LVA has won by 7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Jun · DAL 84 at LVA 99LVA won

15 Jun · LVA 66 at DAL 96LVA lost

28 May · LVA 87 at DAL 95LVA lost

What each defense gives up per game

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up85.8 points · 34.0 rebounds · 18.6 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.2% of shots · 34.5% from three-point range · 13.0 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

LVA gives up 85.8 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 14 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 21 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 24 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 96 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 103 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 88 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 112 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 27 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 155 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 102 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 103 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 118 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 120 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 213 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 534 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.