WNBA · Aug 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty

FinalMIN 75 – NYL 85Page updated 18:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → no final stat available

New York Liberty

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 10 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 166.5 points · odds to win: MIN 2.27, NYL 1.67

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

MIN had 43 days off before this game · NYL had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 54 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Kayla McBride · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · no final price

Sabrina Ionescu · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · no final price

Leonie Fiebich · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 31 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · rebounds 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · no final price

Courtney Williams · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · no final price

Natasha Howard · points 9.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs MIN · last 23 games · NYL leads · NYL record 12–11 · average score 83.4–79.8 · NYL has won by 3.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Sep · MIN 71 at NYL 87NYL won

27 Sep · NYL 91 at MIN 75NYL won

18 Sep · NYL 93 at MIN 81NYL won

11 Jul · NYL 85 at MIN 90NYL lost

3 Jul · MIN 86 at NYL 99NYL won

What each defense gives up per game

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.0−3.1 vs average

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 13 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 87 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 95 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 106 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 95 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 111 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 141 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 349 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 55 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 139 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 140 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 141 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 263 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.