WNBA · Aug 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Chicago Sky at New York Liberty

FinalCHI 91 – NYL 85Page updated 18:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Chicago Sky

Kamilla Cardoso · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 15 actual

Natasha Cloud · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Rachel Banham · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

New York Liberty

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 25 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 16 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 15 · both teams together expected to score about 164 points · odds to win: CHI 9.16, NYL 1.09

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CHI had 48 days off before this game · NYL had 33 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 56 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Kamilla Cardoso · rebounds 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · points 15.5 → 25 · 9.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · no final price

Natasha Cloud · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 26.7 min · no final price

Rachel Banham · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.13

Leonie Fiebich · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · no final price

Sabrina Ionescu · points 18.5 → 16 · 2.5 below the line · played 30 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs CHI · last 23 games · NYL leads · NYL record 14–9 · average score 83.9–82.5 · NYL has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Aug · CHI 66 at NYL 85NYL won

18 Aug · NYL 86 at CHI 93NYL lost

22 Jul · CHI 94 at NYL 95NYL won

17 Jun · NYL 96 at CHI 95NYL won

What each defense gives up per game

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.0+3.6 vs average

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 15, expected total 164 (Thu 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 120 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 227 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 247 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 249 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 252 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 268 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 284 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 388 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 704 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 808 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 262 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 262 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 263 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 379 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 393 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 654 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.