WNBA · Aug 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Fever at Minnesota Lynx

FinalIND 84 – MIN 97Page updated 18:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 26 actual

Lexie Hull · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Minnesota Lynx

Courtney Williams · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 14 actual

Kayla McBride · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Napheesa Collier · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 9 actual

Natasha Howard · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 12 · both teams together expected to score about 167.5 points · odds to win: IND 6.28, MIN 1.14

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:13 UTC

Who is out

Nobody is listed as injured on either team.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

IND had 41 days off before this game · MIN had 43 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 36 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Napheesa Collier · rebounds 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · no final price

Lexie Hull · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · no final price

Kelsey Mitchell · points 20.5 → 26 · 5.5 above the line · played 33 min · no final price

Kayla McBride · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Natasha Howard · rebounds 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.7 min · no final price

Courtney Williams · points 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Aliyah Boston · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs IND · last 16 games · MIN leads · MIN record 8–8 · average score 84.1–83.9 · MIN has won by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Sep · IND 66 at MIN 86MIN won

22 Sep · MIN 77 at IND 96MIN lost

2 Aug · IND 100 at MIN 108MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.0+3.7 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.0−3.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 8 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 68 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 99 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 106 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 110 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 130 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 135 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 119 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 184 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 21 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 91 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 93 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 93 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 94 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 94 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 129 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 322 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 504 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.